NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28564ce767a00dd2b2a2223bcf1b8cf4a0cddf30819cf0ecb93f70c3d0980f87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Pelicans, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $265,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $306,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Pelicans | 0c | 25,500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans | 21c | 13,155$2,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,784.84 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans | 24c | 10,423$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.78 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3586…eecfbacked Hawks | 79c | 10,353$8,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.09 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Pelicans | 22c | 9,141$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hawks | 78c | 8,397$6,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.39 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Pelicans | 22c | 6,297$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.71 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Hawks | 76c | 5,931$4,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.23 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Hawks | 80c | 5,850$4,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.2 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Pelicans | 18c | 5,644$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…113dbacked Hawks | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Pelicans | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Pelicans | 35c | 4,468$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.26 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f82…d8c7backed Hawks | 69c | 3,788$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.68 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pelicans | 19c | 3,642$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.17 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Pelicans | 21c | 3,493$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.53 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Pelicans | 29c | 3,290$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.1 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d0…2368backed Pelicans | 22c | 3,182$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Hawks | 79c | 3,148$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.72 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb09…4e3bbacked Hawks | 79c | 3,141$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Hawks | 66c | 3,140$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.1 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…fcbabacked Pelicans | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Hawks | 80c | 3,000$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.86 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfca6…53e2backed Hawks | 79c | 2,557$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Hawks | 75c | 2,500$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pelicans | 18c | 2,408$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.67 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pelicans | 1c | 2,276$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans | 21c | 2,200$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…79c9backed Pelicans | 27c | 2,160$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.13 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Pelicans | 3c | 2,131$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Hawks | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…8d0fbacked Hawks | 78c | 1,923$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.13 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Hawks | 72c | 1,850$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.49 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -8.5wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…1df5backed Pelicans | 19c | 1,580$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Hawks | 80c | 1,481$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.11 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…1cc5backed Hawks | 79c | 1,335$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.42 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e49…2d2dbacked Pelicans | 21c | 1,335$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Hawks | 79c | 1,138$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.49 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…dca0backed Hawks | 78c | 1,077$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Pelicans | 18c | 1,041$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.39 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Pelicans | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Hawks | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Hawks | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Hawks | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Pelicans | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Hawks | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…2fa6backed Hawks | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…42f9backed Hawks | 74c | 961.97$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.11 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Hawks | 79c | 912.24$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.57 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…500fbacked Pelicans | 14c | 877.17$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed Pelicans | 24c | 812.94$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Pelicans | 19c | 731.35$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.96 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Pelicans | 27c | 700$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Pelicans | 25c | 595.45$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…3bffbacked Pelicans | 18c | 593.41$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.45 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Pelicans | 22c | 593.13$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.12 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Pelicans | 24c | 565.01$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.29 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Pelicans | 6c | 541.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Hawks | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Hawks | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Hawks | 74c | 499.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9387…ce77backed Pelicans | 21c | 499.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Pelicans | 19c | 499.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f7…0fb5backed Pelicans | 12c | 470$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Pelicans | 12c | 459.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f0…921dbacked Pelicans | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…7f34backed Pelicans | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Hawks | 77c | 418.58$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.27 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…d190backed Pelicans | 33c | 401.34$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.44 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Pelicans | 19c | 400$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08d7…a5f9backed Pelicans | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pelicans | 20c | 399.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Pelicans | 20c | 374.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Hawks | 60c | 354.75$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.9 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Pelicans | 19c | 351.07$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.09 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…a5c7backed Pelicans | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Pelicans | 24c | 350$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c71…72b8backed Pelicans | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09f8…e156backed Hawks | 79c | 346.95$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa077…9c54backed Pelicans | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed Hawks | 79c | 316.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd5…fc44backed Pelicans | 21c | 306.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0299…8a59backed Hawks | 78c | 300.35$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +220.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…41fbbacked Hawks | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…3012backed Hawks | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…ed0ebacked Pelicans | 15c | 300$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…9279backed Hawks | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x401b…3107backed Pelicans | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…8f5fbacked Pelicans | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc5…817ebacked Pelicans | 19c | 299.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bb…38d0backed Pelicans | 22c | 299.8$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Pelicans | 29c | 295$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.34 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Pelicans | 26c | 290$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hawks | 78c | 282.38$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…1cfabacked Hawks | 72c | 276.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.7 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Pelicans | 20c | 259.48$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Pelicans | 20c | 254.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…7838backed Hawks | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Hawks | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Pelicans | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.