TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0661…a72e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
174
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Tweets at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT8469%58 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.62
NBA Parlay: Knicks win and Brunson scores 29+ points? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+47.4%+$23.65
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$115.11
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$199.74
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$282.31
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$171
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.87
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+37%+$37.26
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+52.3%+$150.72
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+28.6%+$63.85
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$99.04
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$80.1
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.28
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+32.6%+$30.97
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+67.1%+$95.32
Suns vs. Mavericksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$46.79
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$336.9
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$195.18
Timberwolves vs. Hornetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+35.1%+$68.51
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+58.7%+$26.43
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+44.9%+$16.3
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$29.45
Bucks vs. Spursbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$295
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+47.7%+$123.8
Bucks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$237
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2025, EDT3666.7%24 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Southampton vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$121.23
Will Everton vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.65
Will Chelsea vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+25%+$34.4
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$26.5
Will Fulham vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$128.02
Will Bournemouth vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$70.51
Will West Ham vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+37%+$38.38
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+31.6%+$161.71
Will Bournemouth vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+35.1%+$59.38
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Southampton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+25%+$19.37
Will Chelsea vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Brentford vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$80.68
Will Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.7
Will Brighton vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Everton vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$866Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+41.8%+$361.68
Will Tottenham vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,143Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+25.3%+$289.51
Will Everton vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,141Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$1,141.08
Will Aston Villa vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$559Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+31.6%+$176.53
Will Wolves vs. Ipswich end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+31.6%+$65.98
Will Tottenham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+28.2%+$104.6
Will Leicester vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$369
Will Crystal Palace vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,484Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$1,483.56
Will Bournemouth vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST+31.6%+$214.69
Will Fulham vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST+35.1%+$238.92
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT1580%12 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Inter end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$54.54
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.56
Will Arsenal vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+37%+$37.8
Will Bayern Munich vs. Inter end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+35.2%+$125.77
Will Arsenal vs. PSV Eindhoven end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Will Aston Villa vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$47.85
Will Benfica vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+28.2%+$52.88
Will Feyenoord vs. Inter end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+26.6%+$49.18
Will Borussia Dortmund vs. Lille end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will PSV Eindhoven vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+35.1%+$42.86
Will the match between Borussia Dortmund and Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+26.7%+$95.68
Will the match between Juventus and Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+33.8%+$120.67
Will Liverpool beat Girona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+44.9%+$93.52
Will Liverpool beat Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+81.9%+$245.68
Will Inter Milan beat RB Leipzig?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST+44.9%+$136.68
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2025, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Tigersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.08
Twins vs. Athleticsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$50.93
Tigers vs. White Soxbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$152.27
Yankees vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$208.48
Phillies vs. Rockiesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$15.13
Pirates vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$22.77
San Francisco Giants vs. New York Yankeesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$398.33
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$41.69
ATL Braves vs. LAD Dodgers April 1backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$33.36
MIL Brewers vs. NYY Yankees March 30backed Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+72.8%+$103.14
DET Tigers vs. LAD Dodgers March 28backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$42.73
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-70.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2024, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+53.8%+$416.77
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$458
Blue Jackets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+40.8%+$195.56
Rangers vs. Sabresbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+66.7%+$82
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+28.3%+$50.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another coin be the next coin listed on Robinhood?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 60 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$751Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$751.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UEFA Nations League: Germany vs. Portugal (To Advance)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.