MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe666e1215dd2ea2fae5f056770b6f2c0f5c5490cce524fe47092e28097bc24ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf1c…b61bbacked Atlanta Braves | 0c | 13,682$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 2,964$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.76 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Atlanta Braves | 31c | 2,556$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.43 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 2,452$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.92 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 2,055$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.4 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Atlanta Braves | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75e…96ebbacked Atlanta Braves | 33c | 1,793$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 1,400$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Atlanta Braves | 35c | 1,387$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.41 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 1,314$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.74 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Atlanta Braves | 32c | 1,097$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.67 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ff…6c51backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Atlanta Braves | 31c | 958$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 944.38$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.76 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 889.79$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.76 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 856$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.36 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Atlanta Braves | 32c | 800$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Atlanta Braves | 32c | 736.76$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.76 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 650$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 550$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 543.29$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.85 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 288.16$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Atlanta Braves | 31c | 259.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.71 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…a0c6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 29c | 242.3$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.3 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Atlanta Braves | 30c | 220.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.18 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 200$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 138.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ab…a3a7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 134.29$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…b772backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 104.69$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…4e88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a10…556cbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 64.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…ae49backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c77…bde7backed Atlanta Braves | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…8d5abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 42.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 34.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b32…993dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.