TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd9a0…88ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
724
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT28348.8%138 W · 145 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 283 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$172.13
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$371.22
Astros vs. Brewersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.38
Dodgers vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,526Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,526.05
Dodgers vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,449Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+44%+$637.87
Tigers vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Astros vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+62.4%+$39.21
Diamondbacks vs. Philliesbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,068Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+140.3%+$1,499.45
Mariners vs. Rangersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$7,784Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,783.55
Guardians vs. Blue Jaysbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,168Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+38.1%+$1,587.08
Royals vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$140.52
Athletics vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.63
Dodgers vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,348Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,348.38
Tigers vs. Angelsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$9,385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,385.39
Mariners vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,137.08
Diamondbacks vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+44.4%+$19.29
Twins vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Athletics vs. Marlinsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.59
Guardians vs. Blue Jaysbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,777Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+154.5%+$5,835.75
Astros vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,339Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,338.54
Tigers vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.93
Mariners vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$736Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$736.3
Dodgers vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.06
Guardians vs. Blue Jaysbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.33
Athletics vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.48
Showing 25 of 283 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT13845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 138 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$934.79
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,395Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$4,069.81
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$9,279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,278.75
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$16,106.88
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$734.52
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,686Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$3,292.97
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$708Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$707.67
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,250.15
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$9,048Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$11,515.86
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,703Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,702.57
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$66.07
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$936Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+88.5%+$828.57
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.54
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$32.27
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.68
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10,016Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+93.9%+$9,403.66
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,306Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+67%+$1,545.08
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,672Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,671.65
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$5,400
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13,762Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$15,519.05
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,855Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,855.25
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,521Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,521.17
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,285Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$2,797.93
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,496Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,496.33
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15,640.47
Showing 25 of 138 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT12938%49 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 129 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$325.26
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23,941Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$23,941.24
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$25,375
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14,804Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$14,803.57
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$3,936Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+463.5%+$18,242.19
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14,393Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14,393.46
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30,655Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+57%+$17,487.18
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15,216Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+46.8%+$7,116.66
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$898Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$897.65
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15,370Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+104.3%+$16,026.02
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,606Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,606.21
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17,615Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$17,615.3
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$3,896Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,896.12
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,595Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,594.86
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,973Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+80.5%+$3,198.19
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$8,442Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,442.4
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,456Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,455.82
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$5,298Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,297.9
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,998Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$2,355.86
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Twolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31,263Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+56%+$17,500.75
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,130.34
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14,341Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+156.9%+$22,501.52
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19,601Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$19,601.13
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$9,075Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+57.2%+$5,195.02
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$3,541Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,541.14
Showing 25 of 129 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT11454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 114 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$859.05
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$256
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$431.97
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$18.27
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,823Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$1,215.2
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,551Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+51.1%+$792.11
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,055Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+45.2%+$476.5
Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,579Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$1,143.12
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,740Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$772.81
Will Brighton win on 2025-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,496Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$2,115.67
Will West Ham win on 2025-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$75.61
Will West Ham vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$178.05
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,482Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$1,118
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$6,682Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$2,110.19
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+134.5%+$6,945.08
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$260.68
Will Southampton win on 2025-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,636Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$1,957.79
Will Everton win on 2025-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$60
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,231Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$2,865.51
Will Fulham win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$596.75
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$761.05
Will Wolves win on 2025-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.95
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$333.16
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$4.86
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$781Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$665.47
Showing 25 of 114 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$64.67
Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10,407Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$8,865.58
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,137Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+157.9%+$6,533.15
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$777Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$776.72
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10,718Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,718.1
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15,913Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15,913.27
Will Real Madrid vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+30.1%+$25
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12,099Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+128.7%+$15,573.47
Will Inter vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.99
Will Inter win on 2025-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+60.9%+$103.03
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,029Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+64%+$1,939.48
Will Borussia Dortmund vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+31.2%+$4.32
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,462Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+116%+$5,176.73
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11,296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+89%+$10,052.88
Will Aston Villa vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.12
Will Barcelona vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.03
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$576.93
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,256Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,255.67
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$7,938Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,937.72
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$9,029Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,029.07
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.43
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10,110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+118.8%+$12,011.85
Will Arsenal vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,412Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+43.3%+$1,043.76
Will Inter win on 2025-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,961Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,960.94
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16,289Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+40.1%+$6,530.58
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT2669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,010Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$1,180.61
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$677Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+134%+$907.02
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$34.49
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$57.5
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$746Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+30%+$223.68
Will Athletic Club vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+43.8%+$177.82
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.22
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$759Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$700.29
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$845Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$845.43
Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.65
Will Lyon win on 2025-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15,800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4,200
Will Manchester United vs. Lyon end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.9
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,606Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$1,402.18
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$8,846Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+143.4%+$12,681.57
Will Lazio win on 2025-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,636Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,636.24
Will Rangers win on 2025-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+42.1%+$19.94
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$871.44
Will Lyon vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Lyon win on 2025-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$94.55
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$7,765Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,765.15
Will Tottenham vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$198.7
Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,326Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+161%+$5,354.11
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$21.84
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+280.8%+$1,102.05
Will Lazio win on 2025-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,906Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$1,437.82
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.