Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Rangers win on 2025-04-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10462c1f50858bae32ed8491a5c7e1aaa70bd96adf5ebf039cfeb5dba213aea8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a37…90fdbacked No | 76c | 146,000$110,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,040 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…2bd0backed Yes | 24c | 146,000$35,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,040 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 11,055$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.05 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Yes | 24c | 10,425$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 76c | 9,820$7,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.8 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 76c | 7,420$5,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.89 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 24c | 1,003$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc00…d9e8backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…c540backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d0…b336backed Yes | 25c | 985$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ad…7a9bbacked Yes | 24c | 920$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 75c | 731.16$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.58 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…395ebacked Yes | 14c | 721.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 75c | 638.4$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…5c37backed Yes | 7c | 481.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 9c | 478.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…c25ebacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked No | 77c | 370$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ad…0b30backed No | 76c | 355$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 22c | 351$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…a77bbacked No | 76c | 350$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked No | 75c | 321.34$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.33 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd784…9f31backed Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 25c | 270.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.55 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c20…2256backed No | 78c | 268.07$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab1…feffbacked Yes | 30c | 263.23$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…d647backed Yes | 14c | 224.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aab…91cfbacked No | 76c | 175$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9f…af72backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd132…2cb5backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 79c | 142.96$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…b5cbbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 75c | 128.64$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 25c | 128.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc33…d2f0backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3649…069fbacked No | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…8316backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73af…9af8backed No | 73c | 110.95$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 28c | 107.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 22c | 102.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…70f0backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…4356backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…28d5backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 74c | 97.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48ae…2324backed Yes | 15c | 85.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…1295backed No | 73c | 78.81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…d7a0backed No | 73c | 75.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 30c | 70.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…3917backed Yes | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 70c | 67.34$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc14…e34cbacked Yes | 24c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 71c | 63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 23c | 57.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 75c | 54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c5…704abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5a…294abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d71…fdd0backed No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a8…1184backed No | 76c | 37.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…96b7backed No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…b821backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8645…dc74backed No | 76c | 26.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ca…6adfbacked No | 76c | 26.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…8301backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd012…ba7dbacked No | 76c | 24.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb3…5e73backed No | 76c | 21.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 77c | 18.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rangers win on 2025-04-10?this page
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-04-10?No won
- Will Rangers vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.