TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67a5…4356

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 59 out of 100; worst College Football at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.66
Pelicans vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+26.6%+$15.28
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+400%+$80
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$26.35
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Trail Blazers vs. Hawksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+203%+$67
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$20.71
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Trail Blazers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$14.53
Clippers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$20.83
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$20.33
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+53.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
Dodgers vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
White Sox vs. Dodgersbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Nationals vs. Padresbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$39.1
Phillies vs. Marlinsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$17.18
Athletics vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$26.41
Rangers vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Twins vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$44.05
Royals vs. Cardinalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$29.16
Rays vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$18
Yankees vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$74
Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.5
Angels vs. Padresbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Orioles vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$42.42
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+150%+$46.5
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$39.11
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$18.04
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$26.38
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.5
Sharks vs. Ducksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.5
Sharks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$14.34
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Golden Knights vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Bruins vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$15.55
Devils vs. Blackhawksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$16.75
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Tech vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$19.26
Purdue vs. Houstonbacked Purdue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Michigan vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+25%+$14.25
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$37
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado State vs. New Mexicobacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Arkansas vs. Ole Missbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gujarat Titans vs. Mumbai Indiansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.