TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Purdue vs. Houston

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Houstonof Purdue, Houston
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$534,678
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$553,994

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $534,678 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa49b…4c40backed Houston80c100,125$80,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,027.38644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Purdue20c62,087$12,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,417.53455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Purdue19c36,319$6,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,720.384134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Purdue20c32,244$6,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,495.57912.7%10 W · 69 L-13.1wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-65.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1752…7993backed Purdue5c30,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick20cpaid+127.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Houston77c25,439$19,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,846.584542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Houston79c22,595$17,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,687.525527.3%15 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Purdue20c20,614$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,159.5310041%41 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Purdue17c20,310$3,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,488.3210335.9%37 W · 66 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Purdue20c12,477$2,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,507.077936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd68e…f46bbacked Purdue2c10,875$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-39.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bb7…e7c3backed Houston80c10,769$8,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Houston75c10,632$7,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,636.678356.6%47 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Houston78c10,271$8,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,266.972924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Purdue21c10,052$2,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,110.9110511.4%12 W · 93 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Houston79c9,673$7,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,002.683243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc64d…a1c9backed Purdue22c8,000$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.22512%3 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-71.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda31…8e56backed Purdue20c7,500$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008138.3%31 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston77c7,246$5,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,698.21,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec16…07f9backed Purdue2c7,177$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Purdue21c4,980$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.641656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Purdue21c4,688$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.684632.6%15 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Purdue14c3,604$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Purdue12c3,517$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.663993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Purdue20c3,225$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64525043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Houston79c2,997$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.091070%7 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Houston78c2,875$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63541554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Purdue21c2,796$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.386934.8%24 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Purdue20c2,700$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.3713936.7%51 W · 88 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f7…00f9backed Purdue21c2,600$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.982330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4b…24d0backed Purdue16c2,590$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.63425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-60.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Purdue21c2,537$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.8610739.3%42 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Purdue20c2,506$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.131338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Purdue22c2,462$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.07616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-48.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3072…86b6backed Purdue21c2,246$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Houston78c2,240$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.48151.9%42 W · 39 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Houston79c2,174$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.731,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Purdue10c2,035$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.99837.5%3 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick10cpaid+339.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xacfa…6af0backed Purdue1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Purdue28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5604761.7%29 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f89…0d03backed Purdue21c1,931$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.621250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbedb…602cbacked Purdue14c1,846$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.89333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+261.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Purdue22c1,606$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3534520%9 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Purdue20c1,478$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.69641.7%40 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc3b…b99abacked Houston79c1,414$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…9e23backed Purdue18c1,357$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2481822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-41.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Purdue19c1,333$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.663016.7%5 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-68.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9772…8e49backed Purdue17c1,168$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed Purdue18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.983046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Houston78c1,111$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.424250%21 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xabdd…f499backed Houston80c1,050$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.71475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+108.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Purdue21c999.99$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2084932.7%16 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+56%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Houston79c999.98$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21016053.8%86 W · 74 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…5696backed Purdue21c936.18$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-63.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Houston79c849.98$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.491283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4698…6c24backed Houston78c822.05$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.953669.4%25 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Purdue17c751.25$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+49.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Purdue31c750$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.52416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba0c…a550backed Houston80c750$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Houston72c749.64$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.9248462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Purdue32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a41…88d9backed Houston80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3caa…4a0bbacked Purdue20c600.05$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Purdue16c591.61$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.811625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Purdue20c578.84$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.776440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10e2…40b9backed Purdue21c515.71$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…4322backed Purdue20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x343c…741dbacked Houston79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1053100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e2c…ba05backed Purdue21c498$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Houston79c491.25$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.16560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71d9…dd76backed Houston80c483.96$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Purdue23c474.78$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8419.8%4 W · 37 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-67.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Purdue27c450$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeeb4…21c1backed Houston78c449$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7794…8df9backed Purdue24c421.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-39.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x831b…eed5backed Purdue24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-47.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8053…2a8ebacked Purdue30c408.99$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1214226.2%11 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81f7…e1d3backed Purdue21c400$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-60.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01fc…249fbacked Purdue13c395$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Houston78c385.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7542948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Houston78c383.03$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.032564%16 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Houston78c382.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.991090%9 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick71cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Purdue10c374.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.31811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+97.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Houston78c358.57$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5555657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Purdue24c355.17$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.24922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-44.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb5f…0848backed Purdue22c355$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.41838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2df4…3ffabacked Purdue20c350$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7090%0 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Purdue13c346.25$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.481827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Purdue27c320.97$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7520548.8%100 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x105e…4741backed Purdue15c310$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-65.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Houston75c300$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Purdue21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6345953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ed…e60abacked Purdue16c300$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.51827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick20cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed Houston77c296.94$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.34450%22 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Purdue18c288.61$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9516842.3%71 W · 97 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x235c…8c1abacked Houston78c254.79$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.792759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Purdue24c250.58$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.65337.7%20 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82ee…d8e2backed Houston80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Purdue22c249.79$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55250%0 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x318a…360bbacked Purdue22c219.73$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.