TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91ed…e60a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
248
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT15316.3%25 W · 128 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 153 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mavericks fire GM Nico Harrison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$186.83
Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$197.7
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$255.99
Will Tyrese Haliburton record the most total made three-pointers in the NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Luguentz Dort record the most total made three-pointers in the NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+150%+$30
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$108
Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.27
Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.4
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.41
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$387.95
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$48
Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.44
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$229.5
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$1,170
Will Pacers vs. Thunder be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$746Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+52.6%+$392.19
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+1,964.8%+$1,502.29
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.14
Will Knicks vs. Thunder be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.2
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Pacers vs. Timberwolves be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.97
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.32
Showing 25 of 153 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2025, EDT4914.3%7 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will J.J. Spaun win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$557.05
Will Justin Rose win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+591.6%+$1,402.2
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$685.56
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$285
Will Andrew Novak win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.77
Will Chris Gotterup win the 2025 PGA TOUR 3M Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.4
Will Sungjae Im win the 2025 PGA TOUR 3M Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.44
Will Sungjae Im be the first round leader at the 2025 PGA TOUR 3M Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.69
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win The 2025 Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Sungjae Im win the 2025 Travelers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2025 Travelers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2025 Travelers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.85
Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+809.1%+$445
Will Tyrrell Hatton win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Sepp Straka win the 2025 Memorial Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.97
Will Ben Griffin win the 2025 Memorial Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.54
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 Memorial Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.8
Will Alex Noren win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Jon Rahm have the best finish at the PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Davis Riley win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick20cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+278.8%+$368
Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.43
Team from East wins March Madness?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$51
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$22
Houston vs. Dukebacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+733.3%+$132
Alabama vs. Dukebacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.4
Purdue vs. Houstonbacked Purdue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.5
Will Kentucky win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Arizona vs. Dukebacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.86
Will BYU win the East region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.97
Maryland vs. Floridabacked Maryland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.6
Oregon vs. Arizonabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colorado State win the West region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will UCLA win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Creighton win the South region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Creighton vs. Auburnbacked Creighton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.75
Arkansas vs. St. John'sbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$28
Utah State vs. UCLAbacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.8
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick30cpaid-70.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Vikings (-3.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Panthers vs. Cardinalsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.34
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Like That"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be green/yellow?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+222.6%+$56.58
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Bitch Don't Kill My Vibe"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Euphoria" first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Saquon Barkley win Super Bowl LIX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$105.94
Will Kareem Hunt score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$18.5
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Humble" first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$54.4
Will Saquon Barkley score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-39.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+250.9%+$1,591.41
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 French Open? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.