TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,626,994
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,472,281

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,626,994 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 704 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes9c221,073$20,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,433.6328341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes7c215,707$16,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,057.8631347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes2c158,140$3,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,708.028827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c11…3dc6backed Yes8c134,872$10,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,934.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef5c…ae33backed Yes4c134,750$5,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,928.215628.6%16 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+104.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb540…b343backed Yes5c109,581$5,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,530.05395.1%2 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick10cpaid-79.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde7c…c933backed Yes2c84,783$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710.273221.9%7 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes7c80,000$5,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,825.4135942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeba4…0d55backed Yes2c70,797$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.5660%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec8…5709backed Yes13c66,598$8,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,681.450%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7cc…ed76backed Yes3c59,282$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Yes12c58,872$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00012529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes6c53,895$3,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,144.93984.1%4 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-61.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Yes12c51,157$6,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,264.933644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc522…3fb6backed Yes3c51,000$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa01e…34bbbacked Yes4c51,000$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Yes2c42,366$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.313929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c70…232abacked Yes9c42,057$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6005337.7%20 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbe1…5e04backed Yes14c41,995$5,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,815425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-13.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Yes2c41,784$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.05646.3%4 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes5c41,039$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.47535.7%3 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick5cpaid-56.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d6…d648backed Yes5c40,386$2,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,112.891625%4 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x721f…748bbacked Yes4c40,206$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,623.65160%0 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x281d…0c73backed Yes4c36,696$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.182412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-59%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e95…a0e4backed Yes5c36,603$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes3c36,544$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.6312229.5%36 W · 86 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes3c35,299$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.1326640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes6c32,849$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,94042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Yes2c32,812$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.687647.4%36 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Yes8c31,283$2,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,594.1630251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39a1…af66backed Yes5c30,630$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.1330%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Yes5c30,031$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.477939.2%31 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes10c21,808$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,17526934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes8c20,194$1,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,675.776631.8%21 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes4c19,732$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.55185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-84.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes11c19,625$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.582532%8 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a1…7cb1backed Yes6c19,290$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.1770%0 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf031…89b5backed Yes10c18,839$1,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,893.772119%4 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71ca…3501backed Yes15c18,413$2,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,743.581729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1439…5051backed Yes3c17,996$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.46326.3%2 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+107.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9a…a56fbacked Yes16c17,859$2,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,832.33742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Yes8c17,509$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.6416436.6%60 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes6c16,479$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.33713.5%5 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-61.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6094…3bd9backed Yes6c16,445$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.298536.5%31 W · 54 L+8.8wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+61.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x021e…984ebacked Yes13c16,144$2,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,121.93540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes14c16,052$2,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,215.861040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Yes13c15,846$2,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,006.8313133.6%44 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes2c15,821$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.176344.4%28 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c3e…3d75backed Yes2c15,202$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bf0…6215backed Yes3c15,131$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.25150%0 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Yes4c15,000$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.95843.1%25 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes11c14,834$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.07219.5%2 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-84.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4480…1c30backed Yes2c13,315$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes3c13,281$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.0293041.9%390 W · 540 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes12c13,115$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.12,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb61e…aa56backed Yes15c13,054$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes16c12,882$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3740…575abacked Yes15c12,583$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Yes9c11,984$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.563938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes7c11,935$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.112,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd057…ae9fbacked Yes1c11,420$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.892416.7%4 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked Yes5c11,363$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.22937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb014…b3fabacked Yes9c11,041$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.851216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-72.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes8c10,989$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.252020%4 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes2c10,660$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.1710542.9%45 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Yes17c10,571$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.8314161%86 W · 55 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd17e…0868backed Yes19c10,459$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.52245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x542a…a81bbacked Yes5c10,124$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52560%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x592c…d7c0backed Yes17c10,090$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,67110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa117…1aa9backed Yes4c10,087$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.261315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-69.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6367…e938backed Yes6c10,004$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.564734%16 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+44.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes6c10,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes5c10,000$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.161,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…d424backed Yes3c10,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300100%0 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f30…acaebacked Yes11c9,803$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9240%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe190…a627backed Yes10c9,609$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908b…4c15backed Yes3c9,366$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300195.3%1 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick10cpaid-91.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes6c9,236$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.161,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed Yes19c9,152$1,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.167038.6%27 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8de4…b516backed Yes11c9,000$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+40.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x213e…cd72backed Yes3c8,615$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.181020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked Yes3c8,561$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.421926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick18cpaid-27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes4c8,543$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35682440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b41…5dedbacked Yes9c8,368$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Yes3c8,291$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27215911.9%19 W · 140 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fe…41d1backed Yes3c8,237$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27250%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d7…676fbacked Yes1c8,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809625%24 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e69…c0c8backed Yes4c7,976$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbef6…f2f9backed Yes2c7,821$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.842755.6%15 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+25.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6113…9ea3backed Yes3c7,785$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.78180%0 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ee…bf85backed Yes4c7,742$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.220031%62 W · 138 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+52.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa53e…8ba5backed Yes14c7,445$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.083043.3%13 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca9d…07f7backed Yes10c7,308$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.77333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+141.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e44…e83fbacked Yes15c7,228$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.871136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x795d…63e7backed Yes2c7,125$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.245139.2%20 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+71.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes5c7,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380326.3%2 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+124.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd32e…27fbbacked Yes13c6,955$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.111118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick40cpaid-73.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes10c6,614$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.0580%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a30…906ebacked Yes16c6,437$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.