NBA · resolved market
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad506c65823a0f12dcdb38b19bef3b12f2c655d9d6c5512586d56b1d597cbc7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,928,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,377,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,928,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 367 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 1c | 1,414,336$9,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,104.17 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2efb…4c54backed Yes | 0c | 352,848$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.07 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4625…4bfcbacked Yes | 0c | 263,559$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…0a68backed Yes | 0c | 244,469$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3566…dfaebacked Yes | 0c | 220,333$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x280c…cb0abacked Yes | 0c | 217,819$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8838…c529backed Yes | 0c | 214,233$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…c19ebacked Yes | 0c | 213,887$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…668fbacked Yes | 0c | 213,242$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a07…4335backed Yes | 0c | 213,110$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd44…847ebacked Yes | 0c | 212,898$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17fb…3a92backed Yes | 0c | 212,068$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad77…5dd6backed Yes | 0c | 211,576$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b4…e7e3backed Yes | 0c | 210,620$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabec…bc82backed Yes | 0c | 209,876$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7246…3053backed Yes | 0c | 209,580$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc2…839abacked Yes | 0c | 207,295$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e0…c096backed Yes | 0c | 206,569$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…9806backed Yes | 0c | 206,553$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…b81bbacked Yes | 0c | 206,223$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…d41fbacked Yes | 0c | 205,554$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ff…284fbacked Yes | 0c | 205,156$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…383ebacked Yes | 0c | 203,743$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…c00bbacked Yes | 0c | 203,274$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…75a2backed Yes | 0c | 200,899$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…8dc0backed Yes | 0c | 197,677$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaf…72d0backed Yes | 0c | 194,902$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Yes | 0c | 192,631$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.69 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7687…9a12backed Yes | 0c | 189,116$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…6178backed Yes | 0c | 184,999$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 0c | 181,195$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.39 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…f469backed Yes | 0c | 173,564$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f72…2364backed Yes | 0c | 159,422$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 0c | 138,853$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.52 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 1c | 137,792$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.62 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa044…25d6backed Yes | 0c | 113,933$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0766…3e65backed Yes | 0c | 113,482$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…c59ebacked Yes | 0c | 112,551$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…74ccbacked Yes | 0c | 111,901$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5420…7f78backed Yes | 0c | 111,699$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3410…00d9backed Yes | 0c | 110,223$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x315b…8452backed Yes | 0c | 110,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb027…3fccbacked Yes | 0c | 109,999$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…b965backed Yes | 0c | 109,000$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…f4d9backed Yes | 0c | 108,975$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a1…19c2backed Yes | 0c | 108,228$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583e…ac86backed Yes | 0c | 108,000$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…1bbbbacked Yes | 0c | 107,995$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e90…9ae5backed Yes | 0c | 106,899$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fe…e35ebacked Yes | 0c | 106,666$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdf…4a37backed Yes | 0c | 106,666$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcabf…dc24backed Yes | 0c | 106,485$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 106,247$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.61 | 155 | 0%0 W · 155 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d6…6051backed Yes | 0c | 104,996$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebce…32d1backed Yes | 0c | 104,465$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd0…1917backed Yes | 0c | 102,221$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd964…06edbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7348…86afbacked Yes | 0c | 98,661$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x358b…ba39backed Yes | 0c | 74,439$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes | 2c | 73,512$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.31 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 4c | 60,000$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.82 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Yes | 3c | 57,142$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.33 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | -10.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c8…a8c9backed Yes | 4c | 52,000$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb1…679dbacked Yes | 4c | 52,000$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…93bcbacked Yes | 4c | 52,000$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…f7d0backed Yes | 0c | 49,230$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…5c0cbacked Yes | 2c | 48,664$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 2c | 48,449$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.72 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 2c | 48,408$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.53 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf0…6215backed Yes | 1c | 46,000$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdafc…dbadbacked Yes | 2c | 40,559$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.77 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…5194backed Yes | 3c | 39,475$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 3c | 35,895$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.86 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 5c | 35,186$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.22 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 3c | 34,833$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.83 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…2170backed Yes | 3c | 30,670$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f5…6c9bbacked Yes | 3c | 30,578$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.45 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 4c | 30,559$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.81 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -77%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 4c | 30,525$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Yes | 4c | 26,668$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.85 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…b02dbacked Yes | 4c | 25,000$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…fae0backed Yes | 6c | 25,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.97 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Yes | 3c | 24,271$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.61 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 2c | 23,576$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.08 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cef…06c2backed Yes | 0c | 23,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Yes | 3c | 22,106$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.95 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,021$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e19…ccdcbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7e…94c6backed Yes | 0c | 19,900$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Yes | 3c | 19,363$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.31 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Yes | 2c | 19,229$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.95 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 2c | 18,677$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.92 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 7c | 18,591$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.36 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 3c | 17,750$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.5 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6113…9ea3backed Yes | 7c | 16,356$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.73 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x390d…350bbacked Yes | 2c | 16,322$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.61 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Yes | 0c | 15,335$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Yes | 6c | 15,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 14,147$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 213 | 0.5%1 W · 212 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?this page
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.