TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,019,077
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,342,093

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,019,077 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,921 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb41a…3a25backed Yes1c3,603,063$22,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,488.72110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed Yes0c3,161,711$4,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,961.692615.4%4 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick10cpaid-75.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8db…e9b2backed Yes0c1,865,840$3,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,731.68520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-66.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes1c1,431,910$9,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,922.295313.2%7 W · 46 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-68.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c876,772$2,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,668.591978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes0c686,933$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.19563.6%2 W · 54 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-94.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes1c436,571$2,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,333.84427.1%3 W · 39 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-84.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1857…c0cebacked Yes0c345,845$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.71260%0 W · 26 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c299,944$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.611827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-60.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c252,996$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.99462.2%1 W · 45 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-88.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes1c243,766$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.3620047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes1c236,468$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.28110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes1c218,128$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,745.03214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-90.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5686…e84cbacked Yes0c204,790$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c6…6cadbacked Yes0c192,500$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b65…c4b2backed Yes1c176,187$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.532133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ba…74d8backed Yes1c167,224$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.17100%0 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5423…9d4cbacked Yes1c146,648$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.4940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd11b…1b0fbacked Yes1c133,333$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd152…f201backed Yes1c109,143$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba3d…b0fbbacked Yes0c90,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf437…6e38backed Yes0c70,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.32per pick47cpaid-79.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7862backed Yes1c59,920$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.15120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…4992backed Yes1c58,677$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.3920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37f9…545ebacked Yes0c57,383$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e37…d81fbacked Yes1c57,143$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3077…02b3backed Yes1c55,554$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.77100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4844…6135backed Yes0c52,670$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b3…e6f2backed Yes0c51,965$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf1a…f1b0backed Yes1c51,240$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes1c51,195$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.525020%10 W · 40 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-44.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f48…2772backed Yes1c51,115$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.5820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5db…e35ebacked Yes0c51,060$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d2…c134backed Yes0c51,010$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e96…e60cbacked Yes0c50,570$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c50,349$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.311337.2%42 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70a8…d968backed Yes0c49,753$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5faf…705fbacked Yes0c48,333$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bd4…5c24backed Yes0c47,800$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec02…8a96backed Yes1c47,393$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.5440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c5b…bd8ebacked Yes1c46,069$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…0c0abacked Yes1c45,894$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e25…ca27backed Yes0c45,510$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0b3…a348backed Yes1c45,474$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5314…0231backed Yes1c45,431$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3f4…e1f6backed Yes1c44,946$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe295…ee2fbacked Yes1c44,658$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6afd…a890backed Yes1c43,408$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9f0…3895backed Yes1c43,333$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8d6…b2a5backed Yes0c43,333$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf219…87cfbacked Yes1c43,254$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51d6…8e61backed Yes1c43,016$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91d6…d0b9backed Yes1c42,762$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9d8…bcc6backed Yes1c42,559$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8240…e0f7backed Yes1c42,541$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e1d…ca6ebacked Yes1c42,460$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe415…7ae7backed Yes1c42,457$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7982…f157backed Yes1c42,420$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7de8…6b37backed Yes1c42,400$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1fb…f89bbacked Yes1c42,316$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72bd…a9c9backed Yes1c42,314$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d4…b29cbacked Yes0c42,310$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.62540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…82b9backed Yes1c42,165$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a83…621bbacked Yes1c42,008$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ae1…a35ebacked Yes0c41,935$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8730%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x439c…62efbacked Yes1c41,877$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x605e…39b2backed Yes1c41,798$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a47…6a4cbacked Yes1c41,796$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ce…a20dbacked Yes1c41,774$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1425…00fcbacked Yes1c41,660$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92cf…9b20backed Yes1c41,614$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9613…208bbacked Yes1c41,600$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa216…c922backed Yes1c41,501$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b91…b9cebacked Yes1c41,477$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63b0…d967backed Yes1c41,462$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45e…32a5backed Yes1c41,436$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f7…6996backed Yes1c41,295$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ca3…65a3backed Yes1c41,270$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x013a…cf6cbacked Yes1c41,166$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7175…ae6ebacked Yes1c41,073$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0f3…4675backed Yes1c41,037$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76d…5dedbacked Yes1c40,972$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd53b…dcb7backed Yes1c40,954$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x353b…301cbacked Yes1c40,934$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9864…f2f3backed Yes1c40,922$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd76f…5160backed Yes1c40,905$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb34…c0a7backed Yes1c40,881$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde12…25a6backed Yes1c40,879$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x632d…56a9backed Yes1c40,842$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c62…3445backed Yes1c40,813$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa19…2329backed Yes1c40,797$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e2…29eabacked Yes1c40,774$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4727…27dcbacked Yes1c40,730$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0312…5a07backed Yes1c40,710$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6950…edb4backed Yes1c40,696$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8edb…ff10backed Yes1c40,680$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x819d…0720backed Yes1c40,667$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5704…c7cdbacked Yes1c40,644$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4de4…39debacked Yes1c40,617$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x732d…4d3ebacked Yes1c40,531$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.