NBA · resolved market
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4472853ab134236dbfe4cd5f83fcbc60f62767b2a474a1c0b0ed3190d813084
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,741,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,190,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,741,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 824 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes | 3c | 474,403$12,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,614.5 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x883e…31dfbacked Yes | 3c | 386,284$11,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,299.96 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 9c | 318,485$27,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,849.7 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 1c | 225,235$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.39 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…b343backed Yes | 3c | 208,424$6,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,530.92 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 1c | 186,534$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.48 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 5c | 175,870$7,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,962.07 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes | 1c | 149,610$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.68 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Yes | 13c | 129,553$17,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,095.2 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…0d55backed Yes | 7c | 116,995$8,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,204.04 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 2c | 114,324$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.73 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 2c | 109,432$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167.49 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes | 1c | 107,439$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.63 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…b0ecbacked Yes | 13c | 105,746$14,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,163.85 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 4c | 101,856$3,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,992.73 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 2c | 100,439$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.67 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes | 3c | 97,176$2,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.45 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca9…bef1backed Yes | 2c | 86,706$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yes | 6c | 69,688$3,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,929.84 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Yes | 1c | 68,045$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.53 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 2c | 64,410$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.56 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 1c | 57,283$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.46 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1444…69c0backed Yes | 4c | 56,902$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 6c | 56,684$3,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349.37 | 98 | 4.1%4 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes | 3c | 55,021$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.86 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e75…80babacked Yes | 9c | 55,000$5,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f63…41e0backed Yes | 21c | 51,430$10,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,554.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x856c…6710backed Yes | 3c | 51,000$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…2e65backed Yes | 1c | 50,208$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…fae0backed Yes | 4c | 50,000$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.45 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…2170backed Yes | 2c | 49,935$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…e824backed Yes | 17c | 49,403$8,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,168.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes | 5c | 48,798$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.13 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 1c | 43,964$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.12 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0532…0b95backed Yes | 1c | 41,536$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…aaf0backed Yes | 4c | 40,127$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf0…6215backed Yes | 1c | 39,999$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…8f86backed Yes | 1c | 37,457$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.28 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 1c | 35,817$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.53 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -77%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 12c | 34,543$4,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300.74 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 2c | 32,725$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.75 | 164 | 36.6%60 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Yes | 3c | 30,748$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.68 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8426…28f8backed Yes | 4c | 29,447$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 8c | 28,717$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.46 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Yes | 15c | 28,190$4,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,196.94 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908b…4c15backed Yes | 2c | 25,550$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -91.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed Yes | 13c | 25,331$3,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,296.65 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -87%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Yes | 1c | 23,805$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.22 | 100 | 18%18 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec24…58c0backed Yes | 3c | 23,641$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Yes | 6c | 23,538$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.37 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…757abacked Yes | 2c | 23,207$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.78 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +178%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992e…27c3backed Yes | 9c | 22,841$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 2c | 22,471$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.97 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…b3fabacked Yes | 15c | 21,061$3,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,181.14 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…6c70backed Yes | 5c | 20,973$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8040…5e6ebacked Yes | 1c | 20,940$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Yes | 10c | 20,704$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 5c | 20,000$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.06 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 7c | 18,478$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.98 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 1c | 18,332$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…9329backed Yes | 2c | 18,321$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 10c | 18,276$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.03 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1857…c0cebacked Yes | 1c | 18,153$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.2 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Yes | 4c | 17,776$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.07 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1b…16c0backed Yes | 1c | 17,692$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 1c | 17,200$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.6 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d02…d1f6backed Yes | 6c | 16,992$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca3…ffe2backed Yes | 7c | 16,981$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…38dbbacked Yes | 4c | 16,663$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.74 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -12.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Yes | 1c | 15,750$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.27 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 7c | 15,431$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.91 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…c036backed Yes | 1c | 14,299$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.99 | 73 | 0%0 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 14,146$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.11 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd3…7b26backed Yes | 2c | 14,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x297c…a87bbacked Yes | 4c | 13,999$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.82 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…6169backed Yes | 2c | 13,511$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c5…029fbacked Yes | 1c | 13,077$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…a806backed Yes | 2c | 12,758$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.38 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 11c | 12,728$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.02 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff9…0524backed Yes | 1c | 12,657$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 1c | 12,566$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.18 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443a…ba14backed Yes | 14c | 12,426$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…1aa9backed Yes | 2c | 12,284$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.6 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6113…9ea3backed Yes | 4c | 12,159$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.35 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Yes | 1c | 11,739$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.85 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721f…748bbacked Yes | 2c | 10,944$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67db…bd86backed Yes | 6c | 10,890$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Yes | 1c | 10,714$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 153 | 16.3%25 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c5…7cfebacked Yes | 1c | 10,700$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.63 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 12c | 10,344$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.1 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 3c | 10,271$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.77 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 3c | 10,200$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.79 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Yes | 15c | 10,013$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.87 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 198 | 38.9%77 W · 121 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Yes | 4c | 10,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Yes | 6c | 10,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 9c | 9,611$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.38 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Yes | 3c | 9,478$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.38 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?this page
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.