TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,741,771
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,190,123

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,741,771 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 824 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes3c474,403$12,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,614.56435.9%23 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x883e…31dfbacked Yes3c386,284$11,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,299.964910.2%5 W · 44 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes9c318,485$27,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,849.728341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes1c225,235$2,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,938.398521.2%18 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb540…b343backed Yes3c208,424$6,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,530.92395.1%2 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick10cpaid-79.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes1c186,534$2,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,253.48535.7%3 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick5cpaid-56.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes5c175,870$7,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,962.0722750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes1c149,610$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.68326.3%2 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+124.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Yes13c129,553$17,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,095.28333.7%28 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeba4…0d55backed Yes7c116,995$8,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,204.0460%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Yes2c114,324$1,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,773.7313929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes2c109,432$2,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,167.49185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-84.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes1c107,439$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.634022.5%9 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff48…b0ecbacked Yes13c105,746$14,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,163.851421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-41.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes4c101,856$3,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,992.735736.8%21 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6367…e938backed Yes2c100,439$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.674734%16 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+44.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes3c97,176$2,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,904.4512229.5%36 W · 86 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ca9…bef1backed Yes2c86,706$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,621.5450%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yes6c69,688$3,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,929.8496447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked Yes1c68,045$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.531926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick18cpaid-27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes2c64,410$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.568827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1439…5051backed Yes1c57,283$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.46326.3%2 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+107.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1444…69c0backed Yes4c56,902$2,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,226.2350%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes6c56,684$3,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,349.37984.1%4 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-61.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes3c55,021$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.8626640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e75…80babacked Yes9c55,000$5,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,11510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f63…41e0backed Yes21c51,430$10,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,554.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x856c…6710backed Yes3c51,000$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd28…2e65backed Yes1c50,208$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7183941%16 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41a5…fae0backed Yes4c50,000$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.453138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x851c…2170backed Yes2c49,935$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed1…e824backed Yes17c49,403$8,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,168.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes5c48,798$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,585.136820.6%14 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Yes1c43,964$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.12646.3%4 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0532…0b95backed Yes1c41,536$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.561040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a1e…aaf0backed Yes4c40,127$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bf0…6215backed Yes1c39,999$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.99150%0 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9d1…8f86backed Yes1c37,457$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.2890%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes1c35,817$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.53175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-77%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes12c34,543$4,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,300.7435942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Yes2c32,725$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.7516436.6%60 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Yes3c30,748$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.6816443.3%71 W · 93 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8426…28f8backed Yes4c29,447$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Yes8c28,717$2,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,303.4627939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Yes15c28,190$4,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,196.948451.2%43 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908b…4c15backed Yes2c25,550$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404195.3%1 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick10cpaid-91.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6115…2a89backed Yes13c25,331$3,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,296.65119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick36cpaid-87%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Yes1c23,805$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.2210018%18 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec24…58c0backed Yes3c23,641$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Yes6c23,538$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.373764.9%24 W · 13 L+6.2wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+25.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x52eb…757abacked Yes2c23,207$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.78185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick6cpaid+178%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x992e…27c3backed Yes9c22,841$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,021.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes2c22,471$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.973525.7%9 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid+115.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb014…b3fabacked Yes15c21,061$3,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,181.141216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-72.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f7…6c70backed Yes5c20,973$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0101154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8040…5e6ebacked Yes1c20,940$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf892…7f58backed Yes10c20,704$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.93616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-65.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes5c20,000$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.061,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Yes7c18,478$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.9813133.6%44 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes1c18,332$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.991978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cad…9329backed Yes2c18,321$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes10c18,276$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.036631.8%21 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1857…c0cebacked Yes1c18,153$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.2260%0 W · 26 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Yes4c17,776$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.0717044.1%75 W · 95 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa1b…16c0backed Yes1c17,692$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x542c…f12bbacked Yes1c17,200$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.61513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-47.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d02…d1f6backed Yes6c16,992$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ca3…ffe2backed Yes7c16,981$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.76520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-61.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf3b…38dbbacked Yes4c16,663$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.746126.2%16 W · 45 L-12.9wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-51.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf020…a576backed Yes1c15,750$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.2715724.2%38 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Yes7c15,431$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.9110926.6%29 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c1b…c036backed Yes1c14,299$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.99730%0 W · 73 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes12c14,146$1,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,705.112,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd3…7b26backed Yes2c14,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.5130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x297c…a87bbacked Yes4c13,999$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.82812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-66.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8fa…6169backed Yes2c13,511$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.1550%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9c5…029fbacked Yes1c13,077$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ff…a806backed Yes2c12,758$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.3816030.6%49 W · 111 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes11c12,728$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.023020%6 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff9…0524backed Yes1c12,657$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13070%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes1c12,566$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.186113.1%8 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick16cpaid+37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x443a…ba14backed Yes14c12,426$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,785387.9%3 W · 35 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick19cpaid-50.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa117…1aa9backed Yes2c12,284$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.61315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-69.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6113…9ea3backed Yes4c12,159$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.35180%0 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Yes1c11,739$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.8513548.1%65 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x721f…748bbacked Yes2c10,944$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200160%0 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67db…bd86backed Yes6c10,890$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.45633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ed…e60abacked Yes1c10,714$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015316.3%25 W · 128 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8c5…7cfebacked Yes1c10,700$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.632425%6 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-40.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes12c10,344$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.12,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes3c10,271$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.7793041.9%390 W · 540 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes3c10,200$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.7961740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef5c…ae33backed Yes15c10,013$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.875628.6%16 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+104.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d4a…2215backed Yes1c10,000$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7119838.9%77 W · 121 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0537…13b6backed Yes4c10,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502462.5%15 W · 9 L+5.4wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+68.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Yes6c10,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59018044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Yes2c10,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2109338.7%36 W · 57 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+91.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8ff3…7d00backed Yes1c10,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90160%0 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes9c9,611$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.383129%9 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Yes3c9,478$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.3815911.9%19 W · 140 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.