NBA · resolved market
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1cfd61da9ac8931fc3aa48ad05eb9687e6f925a15502eb23a04e0174d2c9f30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,564,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,016,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,564,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 12,262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 28c | 324,574$90,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,793.08 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 5c | 236,927$11,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,035.04 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yes | 28c | 236,405$66,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,094.25 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd6…3b62backed Yes | 28c | 190,041$53,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,610.47 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 28c | 181,740$50,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,335.93 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Yes | 7c | 165,374$10,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,786.88 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Yes | 25c | 165,156$41,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,243.55 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9811…5de5backed Yes | 27c | 146,174$40,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,195.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 27c | 115,797$30,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,891.48 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 29c | 95,610$27,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,685.31 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes | 29c | 95,355$27,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,652.86 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…0d55backed Yes | 24c | 93,673$22,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,037.63 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a63…e4b7backed No | 70c | 71,000$49,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6302…4beabacked No | 70c | 71,000$49,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf765…c198backed Yes | 30c | 71,000$21,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa168…f07bbacked No | 71c | 70,000$49,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,300 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f1…9357backed No | 71c | 70,000$49,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,300 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a2…d2e0backed No | 71c | 70,000$49,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2d…4667backed No | 71c | 70,000$49,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…cd5cbacked Yes | 29c | 70,000$20,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…2ecdbacked Yes | 29c | 70,000$20,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Yes | 26c | 69,726$18,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,081.52 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Yes | 5c | 68,410$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510.1 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Yes | 20c | 68,254$13,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,650.76 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…b0ecbacked Yes | 5c | 63,602$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030.37 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…7005backed Yes | 4c | 60,025$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Yes | 22c | 56,674$12,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,321.62 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…00f9backed Yes | 27c | 51,699$14,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,095.63 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked No | 71c | 50,654$35,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,689.66 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 4c | 50,072$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.45 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yes | 25c | 48,858$12,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,101.28 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes | 6c | 43,046$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 40,562$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.2 | 98 | 4.1%4 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09de…9b97backed Yes | 57c | 40,280$23,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,044.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8055…44c4backed Yes | 26c | 33,495$8,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,719.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 2c | 32,328$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.52 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 74c | 31,074$22,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,174.37 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Yes | 25c | 30,394$7,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,695.59 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa89…624ebacked Yes | 28c | 27,021$7,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,565.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 30c | 26,500$7,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,850 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b5…e773backed Yes | 28c | 26,067$7,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,298.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 25c | 25,968$6,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,569.14 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…ab4dbacked Yes | 29c | 25,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.93 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +252.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Yes | 26c | 24,998$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,499.54 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6430…b2e5backed No | 72c | 24,604$17,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,889.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cf…7d67backed Yes | 3c | 23,522$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5d…7cadbacked Yes | 28c | 23,307$6,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,623.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…12f6backed Yes | 29c | 23,217$6,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,732.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3375…a8d8backed Yes | 30c | 22,855$6,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,847.16 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e3…db80backed Yes | 28c | 22,610$6,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,266.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91eb…cebbbacked Yes | 27c | 21,505$5,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,802.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 29c | 20,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.88 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…4eccbacked Yes | 27c | 19,999$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe58…4acbbacked Yes | 34c | 19,872$6,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,739.6 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a9…130dbacked Yes | 6c | 19,370$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 25c | 18,922$4,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,665.25 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 27c | 18,911$5,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,134.84 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…e86abacked Yes | 29c | 17,226$4,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe96c…afc7backed Yes | 27c | 17,213$4,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,717.17 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac63…7afcbacked Yes | 6c | 17,201$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.59 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…d5c5backed Yes | 22c | 17,127$3,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,766 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 28c | 16,520$4,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,616.39 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…15f1backed Yes | 29c | 16,433$4,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,765.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 28c | 16,277$4,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,557.62 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 17c | 15,847$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.64 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…b343backed Yes | 26c | 15,312$3,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,911.71 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Yes | 1c | 15,000$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.47 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6257…37c9backed No | 74c | 14,622$10,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,766.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6113…9ea3backed Yes | 19c | 14,521$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.64 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 28c | 14,356$3,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,948.24 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Yes | 2c | 14,000$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.14 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x690e…a4b3backed Yes | 27c | 13,558$3,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 2c | 13,551$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.03 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb919…ec1ebacked Yes | 27c | 13,330$3,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,618.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…9ea3backed Yes | 26c | 12,196$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230.43 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2d…3688backed Yes | 24c | 12,135$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Yes | 22c | 11,686$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605.91 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2a…07bfbacked Yes | 26c | 11,585$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…a5a7backed Yes | 27c | 11,469$3,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,128.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…9dbfbacked Yes | 27c | 11,417$3,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,031.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93c…4233backed Yes | 27c | 11,204$3,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,062.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…2607backed Yes | 27c | 11,083$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes | 26c | 10,911$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.66 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883e…31dfbacked Yes | 23c | 10,887$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.39 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Yes | 29c | 10,846$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,115.13 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c5…dd4bbacked Yes | 28c | 10,826$3,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,022.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe640…f2febacked Yes | 27c | 10,404$2,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,784.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 29c | 10,305$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988.53 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Yes | 28c | 10,147$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes | 27c | 10,066$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes | 10c | 10,000$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.72 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Yes | 25c | 9,999$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.86 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbb…2771backed Yes | 29c | 9,871$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked No | 21c | 9,459$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,434.82 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 27c | 9,260$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.2 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed No | 71c | 9,246$6,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.31 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 29c | 9,217$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.07 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…ec88backed Yes | 30c | 8,488$2,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.09 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Yes | 6c | 7,730$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.72 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Yes | 7c | 7,677$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?this page
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.