NBA · resolved market
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ea1a572e24ed7db20d3550ab0108603150b68f6829750ec331d90cce58a459a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,820,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,589,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,820,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07e7…a343backed Yes | 1c | 9,006,730$52,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,324.73 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 0c | 3,905,386$13,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,955.85 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 1c | 1,370,566$8,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,223.4 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 0c | 969,721$4,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,520.95 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 683,170$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.09 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…65e8backed Yes | 0c | 599,846$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.17 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…664ebacked Yes | 0c | 302,410$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.82 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 1c | 302,000$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdd…a653backed Yes | 1c | 250,542$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd152…f201backed Yes | 1c | 245,051$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 0c | 229,098$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.39 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55c8…85b6backed Yes | 1c | 211,740$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7e…467bbacked Yes | 1c | 211,740$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafff…46c9backed Yes | 1c | 211,718$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3a…a863backed Yes | 1c | 211,718$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…91a9backed Yes | 1c | 211,673$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d529backed Yes | 1c | 211,474$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…48a6backed Yes | 1c | 211,466$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…9647backed Yes | 1c | 211,466$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x960a…6e8cbacked Yes | 1c | 211,466$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…a162backed Yes | 1c | 211,466$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1857…c0cebacked Yes | 1c | 202,038$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.38 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5511…bdddbacked Yes | 1c | 192,715$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775c…ef1abacked Yes | 1c | 192,689$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2244…469dbacked Yes | 1c | 192,664$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…87dabacked Yes | 1c | 192,663$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…9f28backed Yes | 1c | 192,639$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b0…9020backed Yes | 1c | 192,639$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…3f12backed Yes | 1c | 192,639$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4c…1f90backed Yes | 1c | 192,639$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…35a0backed Yes | 1c | 192,639$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd15a…7253backed Yes | 1c | 192,610$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3876…b7d8backed Yes | 1c | 180,133$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 161,962$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.85 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6219backed Yes | 0c | 149,999$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 0c | 139,715$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.49 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 122,033$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.1 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3077…02b3backed Yes | 0c | 111,109$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.44 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes | 0c | 88,000$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4286…64e3backed Yes | 1c | 81,160$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…6e38backed Yes | 0c | 69,000$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…1f2ebacked Yes | 1c | 68,665$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d8…7495backed Yes | 1c | 65,499$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7a…d3c5backed Yes | 1c | 63,161$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…12aebacked Yes | 1c | 62,927$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…4165backed Yes | 1c | 59,127$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f1…3ecbbacked Yes | 1c | 55,556$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa537…b57cbacked Yes | 1c | 55,556$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe440…2d0bbacked Yes | 0c | 50,615$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 49,860$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.28 | 213 | 0.5%1 W · 212 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…1579backed Yes | 1c | 48,642$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…3480backed Yes | 0c | 47,913$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.37 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…2128backed Yes | 1c | 46,998$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1579…6e79backed Yes | 1c | 46,667$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…0ba9backed Yes | 0c | 43,085$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd1…08c1backed Yes | 1c | 42,667$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…e996backed Yes | 1c | 42,000$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…f5a5backed Yes | 0c | 40,648$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7764…dc84backed Yes | 1c | 40,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 57 | 7%4 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 1c | 40,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 1c | 40,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaccc…4242backed Yes | 1c | 38,195$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb30…2a8bbacked Yes | 1c | 36,022$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec26…6d5fbacked Yes | 1c | 35,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…7d41backed Yes | 1c | 34,905$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f55…9125backed Yes | 1c | 34,768$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd009…1579backed Yes | 1c | 34,286$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c4…af22backed Yes | 1c | 34,245$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…7e60backed Yes | 1c | 33,733$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee6…b089backed Yes | 1c | 33,652$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84da…3940backed Yes | 1c | 33,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da5…dd12backed Yes | 1c | 32,990$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…4de5backed Yes | 1c | 32,861$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x078e…9928backed Yes | 1c | 32,752$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…9851backed Yes | 1c | 32,743$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50d…4dfabacked Yes | 1c | 32,315$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f5…129abacked Yes | 1c | 32,213$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf9…edfdbacked Yes | 0c | 32,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0817…fb5bbacked Yes | 1c | 31,994$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…ea31backed Yes | 0c | 31,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47de…2480backed Yes | 1c | 30,783$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f3…b43bbacked Yes | 1c | 29,167$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…d321backed Yes | 4c | 29,072$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…351ebacked Yes | 1c | 28,571$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…60a9backed Yes | 1c | 28,571$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…25bcbacked Yes | 0c | 28,419$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…fb44backed Yes | 1c | 28,333$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e3…9eafbacked Yes | 0c | 27,826$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d9…e6c0backed Yes | 1c | 27,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…79d2backed Yes | 1c | 26,786$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf7…ab96backed Yes | 1c | 26,667$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…da7dbacked Yes | 0c | 26,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db4…f9e7backed Yes | 0c | 26,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…849cbacked Yes | 0c | 26,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaec…72dabacked Yes | 1c | 25,833$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…1a13backed Yes | 1c | 25,089$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d06…d421backed Yes | 1c | 25,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…314abacked Yes | 1c | 25,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad9…ef2bbacked Yes | 1c | 25,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f4…c1c4backed Yes | 1c | 24,923$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?this page
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.