NBA · resolved market
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025 NBA Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2527b0abc0dde233f5478d1fa6f043cd9fbe6a79ee1e02711773a3e3a869d53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,988,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,616,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,988,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 390,018$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.18 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 1c | 300,133$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.04 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 1c | 284,244$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.46 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 1c | 282,697$4,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,036.5 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…58eebacked Yes | 2c | 210,147$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,879.86 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes | 1c | 116,775$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.61 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes | 1c | 113,755$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.65 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…65e8backed Yes | 0c | 103,212$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.54 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…8f86backed Yes | 1c | 62,258$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.88 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 2c | 62,029$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.55 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -77%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 0c | 55,770$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.35 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…912cbacked Yes | 0c | 47,485$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 46,820$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.66 | 155 | 0%0 W · 155 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Yes | 2c | 44,506$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.57 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…b6a7backed Yes | 2c | 44,444$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 0c | 43,280$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.56 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 2c | 41,581$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.51 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef4e…7c57backed Yes | 2c | 35,651$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 1c | 33,986$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.34 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 0c | 30,418$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.93 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…dc23backed Yes | 2c | 30,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…c036backed Yes | 1c | 29,448$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.03 | 73 | 0%0 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed Yes | 1c | 29,178$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.27 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 0c | 28,913$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Yes | 0c | 27,150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Yes | 1c | 24,999$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Yes | 0c | 23,475$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd1…11b0backed Yes | 1c | 20,457$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3789…2c06backed Yes | 1c | 20,443$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…5eacbacked Yes | 3c | 20,405$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.06 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3efc…1b97backed Yes | 1c | 20,333$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed04…066ebacked Yes | 1c | 20,257$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe783…a20ebacked Yes | 1c | 20,224$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…b7c6backed Yes | 1c | 20,083$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…4b82backed Yes | 1c | 19,671$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e08…28bbbacked Yes | 1c | 19,482$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d85…8393backed Yes | 0c | 19,089$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -80%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…304abacked Yes | 1c | 18,986$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 3c | 18,719$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bc…3085backed Yes | 1c | 18,381$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…0060backed Yes | 1c | 17,726$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a25…4e8dbacked Yes | 1c | 16,671$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1efc…5b60backed Yes | 1c | 16,446$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab10…ca2abacked Yes | 1c | 16,357$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…718cbacked Yes | 1c | 16,333$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe515…139fbacked Yes | 1c | 16,333$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c1…cf9dbacked Yes | 1c | 16,313$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04fe…000ebacked Yes | 1c | 16,278$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…c59abacked Yes | 1c | 16,223$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9306…d703backed Yes | 1c | 16,104$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…da87backed Yes | 1c | 15,883$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…05a3backed Yes | 1c | 15,880$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a4…ac00backed Yes | 1c | 15,637$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37f…c0b0backed Yes | 1c | 15,629$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…636abacked Yes | 1c | 15,554$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff8…6eecbacked Yes | 1c | 15,530$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf3…9ce2backed Yes | 1c | 15,448$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…c364backed Yes | 2c | 15,416$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.88 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafb3…d7fdbacked Yes | 1c | 15,196$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b5…7e7bbacked Yes | 1c | 15,193$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x456e…5992backed Yes | 1c | 15,101$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 3c | 15,048$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.25 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 6c | 15,000$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.69 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8311…1b87backed Yes | 1c | 14,907$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 2c | 14,763$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.5 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…86c6backed Yes | 1c | 14,550$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…c2cdbacked Yes | 1c | 14,486$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Yes | 4c | 14,485$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.33 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90fc…a406backed Yes | 1c | 14,456$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 1c | 14,357$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.64 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…536abacked Yes | 1c | 13,784$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…932cbacked Yes | 1c | 13,617$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x112e…53a0backed Yes | 1c | 13,263$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x508a…7163backed Yes | 1c | 13,138$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 4c | 12,904$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.6 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…4032backed Yes | 0c | 11,733$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -95.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…4589backed Yes | 1c | 11,713$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ca…af89backed Yes | 0c | 11,545$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…04fabacked Yes | 1c | 11,283$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 0c | 11,183$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 173 | 26.6%46 W · 127 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x463f…4752backed Yes | 0c | 11,155$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc3…2f17backed Yes | 1c | 11,051$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.42 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 1c | 10,800$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…7740backed Yes | 1c | 10,714$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…a0e4backed Yes | 3c | 10,247$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.31 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3083…7d86backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Yes | 3c | 9,963$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Yes | 2c | 9,270$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.22 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef36…8addbacked Yes | 1c | 8,911$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…9288backed Yes | 1c | 8,881$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f8…8c22backed Yes | 0c | 8,805$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308a…0e30backed Yes | 1c | 8,747$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1394…93fdbacked Yes | 1c | 8,516$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a06…b99fbacked Yes | 1c | 8,437$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe61b…15f3backed Yes | 1c | 8,404$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae4…2263backed Yes | 1c | 8,320$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…83cebacked Yes | 1c | 8,286$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4325…ef43backed Yes | 1c | 8,259$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3efa…dc43backed Yes | 1c | 8,182$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025 NBA Finals?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.