TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,153,257
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,586,275

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,153,257 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07e7…a343backed Yes0c9,896,717$45,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,186.982615.4%4 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick10cpaid-75.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes1c4,703,784$31,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,861.565020%10 W · 40 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-44.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb41a…3a25backed Yes0c4,102,188$18,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,626.28110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c1,732,781$6,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,716.121978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1857…c0cebacked Yes0c973,648$4,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,010.56260%0 W · 26 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked Yes0c776,653$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.651926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick18cpaid-27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc22…0567backed Yes1c612,324$4,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,286.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes1c355,318$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.72535.7%3 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick5cpaid-56.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5999…f134backed Yes1c300,370$2,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,102.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Yes0c300,301$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.313929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes1c296,000$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-90.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes1c295,819$2,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,286.558521.2%18 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x554d…55cdbacked Yes1c275,923$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd152…f201backed Yes1c265,306$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.14130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes0c250,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500563.6%2 W · 54 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-94.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c6…6cadbacked Yes0c216,667$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes1c210,294$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.47110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes1c194,995$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.97427.1%3 W · 39 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-84.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x810c…84f6backed Yes1c170,429$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c168,626$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.711337.2%42 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3077…02b3backed Yes0c166,636$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.17100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb22a…8e6cbacked Yes0c161,897$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.693751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd85a…615abacked Yes0c160,640$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.24120%0 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c27…de53backed Yes1c151,915$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.57425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-51.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf945…ef43backed Yes0c132,758$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes1c129,693$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.553330.3%10 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick21cpaid-12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c128,953$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.86462.2%1 W · 45 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-88.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1976…a816backed Yes0c110,060$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.06333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick15cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-60.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3918…092fbacked Yes1c89,444$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c83,141$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.141550%0 W · 155 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1546…e9b5backed Yes0c76,667$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe516…b2b5backed Yes1c67,000$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60330%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2023…2d55backed Yes0c66,665$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200387.9%3 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-80.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes0c65,999$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198326.3%2 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+124.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbbc…1197backed Yes0c62,233$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e15…deeabacked Yes1c60,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe734…7422backed Yes1c57,352$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c54,562$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.812130.5%1 W · 212 L+0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-43.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce33…119fbacked Yes1c53,701$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2ce…212abacked Yes1c53,404$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.8330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf26e…3145backed Yes1c52,983$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.8830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9899…6f9dbacked Yes1c51,274$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f3…fbb0backed Yes1c50,128$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3df2…0725backed Yes1c50,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d3d…541dbacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011945.4%54 W · 65 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eb1…a443backed Yes1c50,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00e3…ac1fbacked Yes1c49,489$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed Yes1c48,778$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.4511842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e56…f763backed Yes1c48,111$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x872c…c8f1backed Yes1c48,000$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53eb…ae7bbacked Yes1c46,222$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc288…3480backed Yes0c45,568$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.271926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-48.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x369e…e334backed Yes0c43,110$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cdd…a653backed Yes1c41,142$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.991216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-51.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb03…8ba5backed Yes0c39,000$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3913839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20b7…8a76backed Yes0c38,000$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3813548.1%65 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x485d…5907backed Yes0c37,000$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3714851.4%76 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f61…dd43backed Yes0c37,000$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3714447.2%68 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9315…a4d4backed Yes1c37,000$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4294…cc58backed Yes1c36,222$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7db0…9135backed Yes1c36,111$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133e…592cbacked Yes0c36,000$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3612951.9%67 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3de2…6020backed Yes1c35,714$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4215…a689backed Yes1c35,501$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf92…d080backed Yes0c35,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512643.7%55 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b70…788bbacked Yes0c35,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3514353.8%77 W · 66 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf905…fb94backed Yes1c34,971$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bb5…5e2ebacked Yes1c34,133$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.9340%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5087…4ad6backed Yes0c34,000$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3414939.6%59 W · 90 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31f7…33f4backed Yes1c34,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-52.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a0b…f32bbacked Yes1c33,696$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.8720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4520…3590backed Yes1c33,646$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.5230%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x854a…686bbacked Yes1c33,646$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.5220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc774…9751backed Yes1c33,646$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.52333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid-34.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb4a…33a8backed Yes1c33,646$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.5220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ca…2f6fbacked Yes1c33,597$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.1820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1edc…2345backed Yes1c33,500$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x770c…e3bdbacked Yes1c33,333$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde83…dbbbbacked Yes1c33,322$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.26540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb929…b81abacked Yes1c33,322$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.2620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c6f…12aabacked Yes1c33,322$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.2620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd225…5320backed Yes1c33,268$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.8820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x764f…3dbfbacked Yes0c33,000$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3312151.2%62 W · 59 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x183c…ca7fbacked Yes1c33,000$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ea…be25backed Yes1c32,559$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.91425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-51.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c18…80d7backed Yes1c32,497$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.48540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64f6…e409backed Yes1c32,473$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.3120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec53…e599backed Yes1c32,473$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.311145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb07…3245backed Yes0c32,000$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3213243.9%58 W · 74 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc69f…25c7backed Yes1c31,728$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.64425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-60.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c6…cccfbacked Yes1c31,666$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid-18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71b6…4dd3backed Yes0c31,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3113647.8%65 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x774e…4665backed Yes0c31,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3112950.4%65 W · 64 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x78ca…86babacked Yes1c30,429$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1cf…9191backed Yes1c30,316$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa45d…fb64backed Yes1c30,308$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fe7…f960backed Yes1c29,778$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26830%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c3…9da4backed Yes1c29,625$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.