TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x133e…592c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
160
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT12951.9%67 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 129 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+89%+$17.81
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Nets vs. Pistonsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+619.4%+$123.88
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$13.58
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.68
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+212.5%+$61.64
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$22.17
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+69.5%+$16.68
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+156.4%+$34.41
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100%+$35
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
76ers vs. Sunsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$21.3
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+284.6%+$37
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+37%+$4.44
Showing 25 of 129 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$29.81
Cardinals vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.16
Rockies vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.38
Pirates vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Rangers vs. Astrosbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Rays vs. Cubsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$39.39
Nationals vs. Marlinsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Pirates vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$24.32
Cubs vs. Bravesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
White Sox vs. Tigersbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$46.92
Brewers vs. Piratesbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$20.28
Mets vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Guardians vs. Raysbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$42.42
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.7
Red Sox vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Cardinals vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$6.46
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Blackhawksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Bruins vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$19.29
Golden Knights vs. Sharksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$18.22
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.88
Capitals vs. Oilersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+143.9%+$17.27
Canucks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8.67
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+49.3%+$5.27
Flyers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+127.3%+$15.27
Panthers vs. Wildbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+72.4%+$8.69
All 11 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+150.6%+$40.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.