MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c8431b4f94741dbdc80671856553dd14977f0d190d60c5a1d7c533e34e00528
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Brewers, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,283,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,296,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,283,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 877 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Padres | 50c | 869,288$434,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434,644 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Brewers | 50c | 834,133$415,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415,630.13 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Padres | 50c | 250,000$125,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,000 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Brewers | 49c | 147,938$72,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,489.78 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Brewers | 50c | 134,674$67,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,336.76 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Brewers | 50c | 75,000$37,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,500 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Padres | 51c | 70,000$35,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,400 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Padres | 51c | 70,000$35,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,300 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 56c | 61,816$34,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,498.02 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Padres | 51c | 57,485$29,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,243.63 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Brewers | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Padres | 50c | 38,743$19,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,527.53 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 44c | 35,592$15,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,817.2 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Padres | 45c | 33,378$14,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,490.9 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Brewers | 50c | 33,113$16,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,574.32 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Padres | 50c | 30,145$15,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,994.65 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Padres | 51c | 30,086$15,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,608.19 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 38c | 25,636$9,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,940.53 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Brewers | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Padres | 51c | 22,500$11,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,045.45 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Padres | 52c | 20,070$10,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,714.38 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Brewers | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Brewers | 68c | 18,473$12,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,521.7 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…374abacked Padres | 50c | 17,280$8,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,689.95 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 31c | 15,716$4,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,812.82 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d75…74a5backed Padres | 48c | 12,591$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,590.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Padres | 40c | 12,528$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,529.19 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Brewers | 50c | 11,896$5,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,948 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Brewers | 73c | 11,180$8,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,161.4 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Brewers | 48c | 10,136$4,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,865.27 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Padres | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…1003backed Brewers | 49c | 10,000$4,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,858 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…a213backed Padres | 52c | 9,831$5,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,718.88 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 51c | 9,217$4,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,516.41 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Padres | 52c | 9,066$4,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,351.68 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Padres | 50c | 8,863$4,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,431.63 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Padres | 50c | 8,652$4,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,326 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6570…480bbacked Padres | 53c | 8,472$4,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,008.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Brewers | 48c | 8,160$3,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,916.81 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Brewers | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Brewers | 47c | 6,950$3,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,266.36 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Brewers | 33c | 6,768$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.57 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Padres | 51c | 6,614$3,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,211.1 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Brewers | 38c | 6,350$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.1 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…98b8backed Padres | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Brewers | 48c | 5,603$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Padres | 53c | 5,601$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.75 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Brewers | 50c | 5,600$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Padres | 51c | 5,500$2,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.77 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Padres | 42c | 5,491$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,194.44 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres | 40c | 5,420$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,270.56 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Padres | 53c | 5,400$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Padres | 45c | 5,170$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,825.65 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…60dabacked Brewers | 67c | 4,928$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Padres | 31c | 4,785$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,303.47 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Padres | 77c | 4,484$3,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.78 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…3231backed Padres | 52c | 4,463$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.14 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Padres | 61c | 4,298$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.7 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Padres | 51c | 4,091$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.19 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Padres | 52c | 3,843$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.55 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Padres | 51c | 3,758$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.26 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6af…2887backed Padres | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5e…f831backed Brewers | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Padres | 49c | 3,410$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.75 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66c5…98ecbacked Padres | 53c | 3,400$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Padres | 49c | 3,282$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.15 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Padres | 51c | 3,100$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.74 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Padres | 48c | 3,078$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.74 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 52c | 3,041$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.74 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Brewers | 50c | 2,999$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.29 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Padres | 51c | 2,940$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.6 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 52c | 2,769$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.97 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Padres | 51c | 2,744$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.37 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Padres | 51c | 2,600$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Padres | 42c | 2,262$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.07 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…2b60backed Brewers | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Padres | 53c | 2,140$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.79 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…94c3backed Padres | 53c | 2,100$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Brewers | 50c | 2,050$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Padres | 51c | 2,025$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.45 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Brewers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Brewers | 46c | 2,000$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.33 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…5576backed Padres | 51c | 1,864$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.22 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Brewers | 49c | 1,837$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Padres | 44c | 1,832$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.38 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Brewers | 66c | 1,819$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.39 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffba…673fbacked Padres | 52c | 1,795$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…d03cbacked Brewers | 49c | 1,795$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.5 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Brewers | 49c | 1,755$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d0…1185backed Padres | 52c | 1,725$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa9…c573backed Brewers | 49c | 1,725$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Padres | 52c | 1,649$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.34 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Brewers | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40c…ddc3backed Brewers | 49c | 1,567$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68ee…6f8fbacked Padres | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Brewers | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Padres | 54c | 1,497$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Padres | 52c | 1,420$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.6 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Brewers | 73c | 1,374$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a11…aab3backed Brewers | 49c | 1,356$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.47 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brewers vs. Padresthis page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Over won
- NRFI: Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego PadresNo won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.