TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x80f0…5576

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
30
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST1478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.27per pick52cpaid+85%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Clippersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+233.3%+$701.3
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT+233.3%+$489.96
Suns vs. Clippersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$132.99
Spurs vs. Jazzbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT+132.6%+$105.45
Bucks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT+233.3%+$308.55
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT+284.6%+$779.7
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT+29.9%+$69
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$333.26
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT+49.3%+$98.97
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$626Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$626.39
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$292.76
Hawks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+37%+$13.5
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+78.6%+$360.81
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT+117.4%+$247.97
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+101.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$249.35
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$356.39
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+180.8%+$479.9
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$913.22
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+53.9%+$1,346.73
All 5 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.33
Valencia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Zizou Bergsbacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$182.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,380
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$80
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,132.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$294
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.