Tennis · resolved market

Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3879b3a8991b8335f3da24e98a15b90e72eb2e68b9f506fca224dabf45d3af6

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $217,391
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $178,431

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,391 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5d2f…4adbbacked Yes	7c	11,215$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes	4c	7,217$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.57	82	8.5%7 W · 75 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Yes	2c	7,067$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.52	317	49.5%157 W · 160 L	-8.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes	5c	6,411$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.06	527	50.3%265 W · 262 L	-6.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Yes	5c	4,311$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.45	99	41.4%41 W · 58 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Yes	12c	3,812$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	+5.6wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Yes	10c	3,703$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.5	60	38.3%23 W · 37 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc0…8e67backed Yes	9c	3,229$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.20per pick	47cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	7c	3,121$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.45	1,107	42.8%474 W · 633 L	-20.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b13…6961backed Yes	10c	3,115$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes	2c	3,074$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.65	90	13.3%12 W · 78 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…2dfbbacked Yes	2c	2,920$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.08	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	2,861$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.92	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d87…ac19backed Yes	2c	2,768$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.43	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcef8…a4edbacked Yes	2c	2,709$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.88	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-71.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca6…46cbbacked Yes	2c	2,521$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8d8…1496backed Yes	8c	2,481$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad7b…98f3backed Yes	2c	2,474$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.38	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x388d…aa42backed Yes	2c	2,196$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.7	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Yes	6c	2,158$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.21	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	14cpaid	-87.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91ad…a5cabacked Yes	10c	2,057$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.3	119	19.3%23 W · 96 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes	5c	1,887$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.81	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b88…aebebacked Yes	2c	1,776$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa939…2412backed Yes	1c	1,740$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.36	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa48a…d9ddbacked Yes	6c	1,719$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5d…f650backed Yes	1c	1,688$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.63	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb63a…8ee7backed Yes	6c	1,686$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.89	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a3f…4f97backed Yes	2c	1,660$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf41…807fbacked Yes	1c	1,625$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	6c	1,543$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.07	82	26.8%22 W · 60 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…7aa9backed Yes	2c	1,511$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.26	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Yes	7c	1,470$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.55	47	57.4%27 W · 20 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97a8…6530backed Yes	2c	1,432$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.64	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef82…04b8backed Yes	2c	1,425$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8fa…b3cebacked Yes	2c	1,350$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes	7c	1,342$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	589	31.1%183 W · 406 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a14…8ccbbacked Yes	2c	1,328$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf35…a46abacked Yes	2c	1,304$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.08	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	3cpaid	+594.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e51…9531backed Yes	8c	1,247$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Yes	4c	1,200$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.36	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Yes	8c	1,178$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	681	57.6%392 W · 289 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee11…53c9backed Yes	3c	1,168$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	238	36.1%86 W · 152 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd811…ecfdbacked Yes	9c	1,105$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.23	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	16cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes	9c	1,075$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed7…887dbacked Yes	3c	1,044$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.99	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	9c	1,031$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.87	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb10e…beedbacked Yes	5c	919.88$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.33	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.14per pick	53cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes	3c	901.29$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.64	444	23.9%106 W · 338 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes	7c	849.92$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.19	957	42.1%403 W · 554 L	-24.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes	2c	690.02$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.25	103	18.4%19 W · 84 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	13cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	10c	677.08$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.47	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes	4c	671.88$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.5wins	-0.15per pick	38cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…f691backed Yes	2c	671.35$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.38	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	24cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf934…8858backed Yes	9c	657.77$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.6	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df9…519fbacked Yes	7c	624.89$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.18	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x008d…6958backed Yes	6c	600.06$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.1	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-2.4wins	-0.13per pick	55cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x781e…d942backed Yes	3c	599.17$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.42	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e93…eb10backed Yes	9c	550.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	49	71.4%35 W · 14 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	65cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d84…3578backed Yes	2c	550$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	29	3.4%1 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-92.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a0…c18cbacked Yes	8c	538.02$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.9	120	33.3%40 W · 80 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a1…c28dbacked Yes	5c	509$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.59	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45cc…6400backed Yes	6c	500$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadd2…a6f4backed Yes	6c	477.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e5c…c29bbacked Yes	6c	441.1$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	105	51.4%54 W · 51 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2395…4508backed Yes	9c	435.14$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d6…64fbbacked Yes	5c	407.76$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.44	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80f0…5576backed Yes	6c	405.97$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.33	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aef…6c9dbacked Yes	9c	400$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.4	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4daa…0e1dbacked Yes	7c	379.73$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.1	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-75.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6125…4947backed Yes	6c	358.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbac…435fbacked Yes	8c	308.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	69	44.9%31 W · 38 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf40…9e76backed Yes	3c	300$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	41	65.9%27 W · 14 L	+5.1wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb099…3560backed Yes	9c	285.41$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	54	11.1%6 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Yes	6c	265.57$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	198	56.1%111 W · 87 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked Yes	5c	260$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.48	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes	7c	253.32$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.05	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	10c	240$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.83	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes	4c	239.32$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.05	116	3.4%4 W · 112 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-91.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa318…0c71backed Yes	10c	231$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.11	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	6c	223.55$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.88	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd61a…c7f1backed Yes	8c	223.53$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.26	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	5cpaid	+99.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38ae…2f79backed Yes	12c	200$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.8	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x256c…3046backed Yes	6c	196$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.91	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-52%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa65c…3bc1backed Yes	8c	175.24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.22	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes	8c	170$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.29	637	46%293 W · 344 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc4…a38dbacked Yes	13c	144.84$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.14	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33b5…f944backed Yes	7c	140.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.24per pick	35cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event