TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,042
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,042 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf18…f183backed Yes1c22,747$182 inLost-$181.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ad…a5cabacked Yes3c7,299$203 inLost-$203.4411919.3%23 W · 96 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes4c4,534$177 inLost-$176.951,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c4,284$57 inLost-$56.762550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Yes1c4,010$30 inLost-$29.647453.2%252 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes1c3,139$32 inLost-$31.79013.3%12 W · 78 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes4c2,925$103 inLost-$102.886,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c2,738$37 inLost-$37.012,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes1c2,522$20 inLost-$19.84030%12 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes2c1,778$33 inLost-$33.4495742.1%403 W · 554 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes4c1,561$62 inLost-$61.722326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes5c1,385$74 inLost-$74.337945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes4c900$39 inLost-$39.46524.6%16 W · 49 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes5c794.75$38 inLost-$38.328226.8%22 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96fa…bb82backed Yes1c729.55$10 inLost-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-62.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes2c618$12 inLost-$12.364,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Yes4c503.36$20 inLost-$201,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes4c454.54$18 inLost-$17.724459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07d6…64fbbacked Yes5c428.18$20 inLost-$19.681915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Yes5c400$22 inLost-$21.66038.3%23 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc4…a38dbacked Yes3c393.75$10 inLost-$10.2490%0 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.