Tennis · resolved market

Will Anastasia Potapova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc261d9ca51d2ec442a3eb9e19801adc7da18a4229dbab057ca7e7566163ed082

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $120,476
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $87,940

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,476 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2889…a177backed Yes	1c	10,592$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.33	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Yes	6c	10,187$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	873	37.1%324 W · 549 L	-3.4wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	6c	6,068$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.04	1,107	42.8%474 W · 633 L	-20.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Yes	1c	6,047$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.44	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	14cpaid	-87.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91ad…a5cabacked Yes	5c	5,168$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.28	119	19.3%23 W · 96 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes	1c	4,495$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.13	103	18.4%19 W · 84 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	13cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Yes	6c	3,760$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.14	308	27.6%85 W · 223 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdb5…6210backed Yes	1c	3,484$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.87	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+105.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes	0c	2,400$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	444	23.9%106 W · 338 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes	1c	2,167$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.13	90	13.3%12 W · 78 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes	1c	2,068$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.04	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	+4.2wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Yes	5c	2,059$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	360	38.9%140 W · 220 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	1,947$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.59	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee11…53c9backed Yes	1c	1,889$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	238	36.1%86 W · 152 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	1c	1,817$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.66	194	11.9%23 W · 171 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…e8a5backed Yes	4c	1,093$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.89	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07d6…64fbbacked Yes	5c	1,036$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.66	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Yes	3c	1,011$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.67	60	38.3%23 W · 37 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes	4c	1,002$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.1	957	42.1%403 W · 554 L	-24.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Yes	6c	980.9$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.89	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcef8…a4edbacked Yes	2c	720$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.15	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-71.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	3c	701.58$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.84	6,720	36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L	-95.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	4c	688.08$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.93	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	4c	402$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.55	1,008	43.8%442 W · 566 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,504	35.1%528 W · 976 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	5c	342.34$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.07	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38ae…2f79backed Yes	4c	300$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	5c	227.24$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.16	2,854	39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L	-83.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Anastasia Potapova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event