Tennis · resolved market

Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0ab6a841f34737f9ba144a596720d20bc56bc5c91bce018dc7526c43d7679f5

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $108,375
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $71,089

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,375 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3123…b44dbacked Yes	1c	11,352$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.76	476	53.2%253 W · 223 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf807…c5dcbacked Yes	17c	5,137$891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$891.01	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-52%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes	23c	4,351$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	87	28.7%25 W · 62 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x231a…a82fbacked Yes	1c	4,097$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.04	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+2.3wins	+0.17per pick	26cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	2c	3,777$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.66	40	30%12 W · 28 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes	0c	3,648$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	103	18.4%19 W · 84 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	13cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x102d…ff61backed Yes	0c	3,496$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.09	57	3.5%2 W · 55 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-89.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	20c	3,097$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.91	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	3c	2,541$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.32	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes	2c	2,493$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.78	90	13.3%12 W · 78 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x447f…01fabacked Yes	23c	1,750$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.73	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07d6…64fbbacked Yes	6c	1,713$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.51	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes	18c	1,567$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.6	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No	79c	1,553$1,231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322.75	56	39.3%22 W · 34 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	+145.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	6c	1,543$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.93	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9e…6838backed Yes	16c	1,510$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	1,383$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.74	255	0.8%2 W · 253 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No	77c	1,200$925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.8	82	31.7%26 W · 56 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1f5…e4c2backed Yes	23c	1,143$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.95	92	44.6%41 W · 51 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Yes	1c	1,093$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,504	35.1%528 W · 976 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Yes	23c	1,092$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes	20c	999.99$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee11…53c9backed Yes	2c	952.38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	238	36.1%86 W · 152 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe87b…8d24backed Yes	2c	927.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.87	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Yes	20c	815.36$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.15	486	37.7%183 W · 303 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a72…be4fbacked Yes	23c	649.85$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.45	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked Yes	22c	554.99$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.43	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1736…688cbacked Yes	26c	500.68$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe901…3139backed Yes	3c	470.17$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	238	32.4%77 W · 161 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-24%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d34…15a1backed Yes	23c	429.18$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-62.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d1a…d142backed Yes	2c	417.81$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-71%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb099…3560backed Yes	26c	389.16$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	54	11.1%6 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…525fbacked No	78c	384.85$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.67	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes	8c	343.01$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.14	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Yes	20c	270.3$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.13	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+7.3wins	+0.14per pick	40cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed Yes	16c	270$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.2	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4dd…994cbacked Yes	23c	260.06$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.98	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	79c	224.98$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.45	338	51.2%173 W · 165 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae51…5c94backed Yes	23c	217.83$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	47	31.9%15 W · 32 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71e1…45f0backed Yes	10c	170.68$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.39	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	18c	169.79$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.08	2,887	39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L	-84.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0e1…30adbacked Yes	26c	151.02$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf7…443bbacked Yes	22c	131.17$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.48	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9047…d9edbacked Yes	23c	130.52$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed No	77c	115$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.1	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	+87.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7c8…e573backed Yes	24c	110$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.29	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1b…92debacked Yes	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	389	47.3%184 W · 205 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73e6…537dbacked Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4325…324dbacked Yes	25c	99.21$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked Yes	23c	95$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.57	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-33%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c07…e43abacked Yes	12c	93.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked No	77c	82.83$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.05	58	22.4%13 W · 45 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes	20c	74.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.78	273	31.5%86 W · 187 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a8…5227backed No	78c	51.28$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.28	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	77c	29.93$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.89	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked No	78c	25.54$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.54	72	62.5%45 W · 27 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	77c	17.99$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.12	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event