Tennis · resolved market

Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a1abbecf10958bac71250802458ec4691d10e323da1c12fd268ccd5ace49269

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $124,656
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $103,173

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,656 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes	0c	12,311$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.31	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-62%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd264…e811backed Yes	2c	5,132$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	27cpaid	-83.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Yes	2c	4,186$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.89	317	49.5%157 W · 160 L	-8.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c70…a82cbacked Yes	2c	2,686$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.46	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes	1c	2,492$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.31	116	3.4%4 W · 112 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-91.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa423…2932backed Yes	2c	2,422$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.13	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c9a…ca6ebacked Yes	2c	2,293$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.03	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1914…6bddbacked Yes	2c	2,218$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.23	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6394…5faebacked Yes	2c	2,218$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.23	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.48per pick	2cpaid	+6,150%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x332e…df71backed Yes	1c	2,142$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	429	34.7%149 W · 280 L	-13.3wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	2,050$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.88	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdb5…6210backed Yes	1c	2,004$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.35	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+105.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa06c…86c3backed Yes	3c	1,919$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.89	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes	1c	1,904$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.94	444	23.9%106 W · 338 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06d1…5053backed Yes	2c	1,863$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.71	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebbe…839bbacked Yes	2c	1,706$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.94	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x454a…ef15backed Yes	3c	1,619$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.95	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.46per pick	4cpaid	+733.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62a2…d57abacked Yes	2c	1,602$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.45	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x891a…96bdbacked Yes	2c	1,377$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.05	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4459…41fdbacked Yes	2c	1,258$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.19	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb8…1338backed Yes	3c	1,252$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.55	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes	2c	1,250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.51	372	38.2%142 W · 230 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2e…05a6backed Yes	2c	1,242$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.6	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97b8…5d83backed Yes	2c	1,176$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.22	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e7…b2c2backed Yes	2c	1,153$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.67	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb16…534fbacked Yes	3c	1,120$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca7a…d5e0backed Yes	2c	1,114$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.74	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	1,037$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.41	255	0.8%2 W · 253 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e93…eb10backed Yes	3c	1,026$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	49	71.4%35 W · 14 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	65cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dbf…2c8cbacked Yes	3c	1,000$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes	1c	999.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	527	50.3%265 W · 262 L	-6.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba1…ac74backed Yes	3c	971$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd7…b803backed Yes	2c	913$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.91	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x328e…08b9backed Yes	2c	906$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.74	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.30per pick	4cpaid	+437.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48d9…2a28backed Yes	2c	694.77$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e99…0885backed Yes	3c	585$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbcb4…c385backed Yes	2c	574$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad69…67bcbacked Yes	2c	512$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.29	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event