Tennis · resolved market
Will Madison Keys win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e903aa958d3b4e58f60e3117f244a2d93a77d9acde7b56a74fcad68bf6ec87e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa985…5c8bbacked Yes | 5c | 3,851$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 1c | 3,134$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca31…dbcfbacked Yes | 3c | 3,107$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd449…8638backed Yes | 5c | 3,105$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc10…f1a5backed Yes | 6c | 3,015$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…76cebacked Yes | 1c | 2,767$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc3…2db9backed Yes | 7c | 2,446$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…1befbacked Yes | 2c | 2,343$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…83f0backed Yes | 1c | 2,297$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 52 | 1.9%1 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -95.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b2…f2c3backed Yes | 2c | 2,130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…4e37backed Yes | 8c | 2,122$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a5…f818backed Yes | 8c | 2,077$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd165…7461backed Yes | 3c | 2,044$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x109f…f434backed Yes | 3c | 1,988$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 1c | 1,987$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…8b3fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,873$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6657…a1dbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,870$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 6cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…08b9backed Yes | 3c | 1,824$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 4cpaid | +437.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fee…86d7backed Yes | 2c | 1,811$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe1…37d9backed Yes | 2c | 1,804$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,777$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…a909backed Yes | 8c | 1,740$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…d8bcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,678$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50df…ac11backed Yes | 2c | 1,564$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf87d…c778backed Yes | 2c | 1,534$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Yes | 1c | 1,441$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 57 | 8.8%5 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…d14dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,433$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75cf…6e7bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,271$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Yes | 2c | 1,200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…222ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,184$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 3c | 1,169$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…c7a5backed Yes | 3c | 1,117$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef08…c975backed Yes | 3c | 1,086$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5c…4b4cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,052$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…2874backed Yes | 5c | 1,049$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3e…e77bbacked Yes | 5c | 999$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 7cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c4…01eabacked Yes | 2c | 990$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf0…457abacked Yes | 2c | 985$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da4…eb75backed Yes | 2c | 976$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2d…aa4dbacked Yes | 2c | 959$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e10…50d8backed Yes | 4c | 940$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…b4ebbacked Yes | 2c | 933$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f24…aefcbacked Yes | 2c | 921$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…9f49backed Yes | 4c | 907$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…d063backed Yes | 2c | 897$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c3…3f13backed Yes | 4c | 852$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a52…eac9backed Yes | 4c | 819$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb205…d31ebacked Yes | 5c | 797$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9330…f692backed Yes | 3c | 770$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8051…cbcebacked Yes | 5c | 757$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +706.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c53…55e6backed Yes | 4c | 752$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…dcc1backed Yes | 4c | 713$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb4…c385backed Yes | 5c | 634$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe178…f6debacked Yes | 2c | 559$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727a…c7e7backed Yes | 4c | 518$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…68e5backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…cb21backed Yes | 4c | 489$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 4c | 450$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fb…eac1backed Yes | 4c | 241$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Madison Keys win the 2026 Women’s French Open?this page
- Will Alexandra Eala win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Anastasia Potapova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Anna Kalinskaya win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Barbora Krejčíková win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Belinda Bencic win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Clara Tauson win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Dayana Yastremska win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Emma Navarro win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Jasmine Paolini win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Jelena Ostapenko win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Karolína Muchová win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Karolína Plíšková win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Katie Boulter win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Leylah Fernandez win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Linda Nosková win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Maria Sakkari win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Markéta Vondroušová win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Maya Joint win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?Yes won
- Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Paula Badosa win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Veronika Kudermetova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Victoria Mboko win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
- Will Yulia Putintseva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.