TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$298,451
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$288,730

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,451 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked No56c27,452$15,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,149.462321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-62%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes30c24,826$7,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,395.261,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Yes8c20,000$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.0930827.6%85 W · 223 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Yes56c20,000$11,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,199.949742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked No46c17,938$8,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,660.224434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd89…353bbacked No67c17,164$11,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,641.43475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+55%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c58…a5a1backed No65c11,412$7,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,994.11258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes53c9,727$5,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,154.37945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes39c9,379$3,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,612.682941.4%12 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No59c9,055$5,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,737.112250%11 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed No44c7,935$3,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,455.762948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No43c7,750$3,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,432.413441.2%14 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed No60c6,698$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,698.35427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-52.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes42c5,503$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,332.8828451.1%145 W · 139 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Yes47c5,318$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50024259.9%145 W · 97 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9d9…e01fbacked No73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3501100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Yes26c4,113$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.339941.4%41 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No72c3,858$2,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.328226.8%22 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes26c3,801$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.0252750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked No57c3,794$2,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.566445.3%29 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+64.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No51c3,426$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.081,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781e…d942backed Yes27c3,000$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.73714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-64.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Yes27c3,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.992528%7 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0cc…5cb7backed No57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Yes56c2,813$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.535623.2%13 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes45c2,564$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.9545737.9%173 W · 284 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb52c…450cbacked Yes24c2,423$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.85052%26 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No63c2,354$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.984459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c7…8366backed Yes48c2,285$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1002733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No44c2,073$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.082360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+48.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd063…e5b5backed No57c2,005$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b4…d723backed Yes56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9919146.6%89 W · 102 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ba…b7bfbacked No44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9470…8a30backed No72c1,964$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.83850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No56c1,845$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.361,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes3c1,817$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8975748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…f691backed Yes34c1,750$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.331533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+59.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63a4…0091backed No72c1,700$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.126747.8%32 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1c…a94dbacked Yes43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6452733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes25c1,472$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.921,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b13…6961backed Yes43c1,458$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No67c1,445$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.968854.5%48 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb63a…8ee7backed Yes28c1,399$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.651353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8383…7fbfbacked Yes43c1,364$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes23c1,300$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297277.4%2 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-81.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked No45c1,298$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.759631.3%30 W · 66 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf3b…38dbbacked Yes55c1,100$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58a6…b9debacked Yes57c1,053$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005158.8%30 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes8c1,030$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.71,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Yes31c1,013$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.626038.3%23 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes40c1,007$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.465541.8%23 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1065652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a0…c18cbacked No45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55012033.3%40 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Yes34c998.89$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34025544.7%114 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes25c994.53$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7817244.8%77 W · 95 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No57c927.45$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.6427231.3%85 W · 187 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No64c848.96$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.895639.3%22 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+145.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Yes44c800$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34912250.8%62 W · 60 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc831…7926backed Yes42c752.38$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1c9…748cbacked Yes27c744.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.092850%14 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked No69c727.23$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.371190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick60cpaid+45.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Yes47c716.79$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.6411859.3%70 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcef8…a4edbacked Yes32c700.12$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.861414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-71.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ebd…21cdbacked Yes43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No73c681.67$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.251471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1736…688cbacked Yes30c661.73$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1961540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked No44c660.81$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.945822.4%13 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-59.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…aae2backed Yes40c626.61$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504126.8%11 W · 30 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-52.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0767…f407backed Yes3c615$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.85996.1%6 W · 93 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-61.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes44c568.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…ea7abacked Yes27c550.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0206…bf76backed Yes36c536.5$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.144763.8%30 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb740…2ec1backed Yes28c536.04$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035157%200 W · 151 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No72c520.41$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.991376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes10c509.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.844423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb903…7bedbacked Yes56c507.07$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.961275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No74c500.16$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7812737%47 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes27c500$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1336852.9%36 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca2…03cfbacked Yes57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2855536.4%20 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No73c499.99$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1352050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes55c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.993441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes28c499.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14011133.3%37 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Yes55c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.992236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No74c490.39$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.6966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3a2…bcd1backed Yes43c476.74$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No71c469.65$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+58.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No72c457$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.57785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+58.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes46c450$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.6822039.1%86 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed No44c447.39$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.542441.7%10 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+87.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x104e…f419backed No71c424.69$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.69475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+51%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed Yes28c421.43$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-69.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf86…601fbacked Yes28c359$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010134.7%35 W · 66 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85eb…d068backed No72c358.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5086…039fbacked Yes56c358.17$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf3…8f91backed Yes28c357.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004665.2%30 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed No57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.881,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc898…b0f8backed Yes43c348.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No73c340.32$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.292770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+23.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd83b…1ef2backed Yes57c336.84$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1923345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.