TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0206…bf76

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT4763.8%30 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$37
Grass Court Championships: Clara Tauson vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$61.61
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.99
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.68
Set Handicap: Raducanu (-1.5) vs Rakhimova (+1.5)backed Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$938Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$567.27
Perricard vs. Bublik: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$287.69
Libema Open: Greet Minnen vs Janice Tjenbacked Greet Minnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$257.58
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Polina Kudermetovabacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$255.7
Centurion 2: Khololwam Montsi vs Alexander Donskibacked Khololwam Montsi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.01
Birmingham: Taylah Preston vs Ashlyn Kruegerbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$214.07
Birmingham: Harry Wendelken vs Mark Lajalbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$244.95
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$988.35
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.14
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parrybacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$891Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$479.59
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Set 1 Winner: Michelsen vs Jodarbacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$159.32
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.74
Chisinau: Radu Albot vs Timofey Skatovbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.28
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullinbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros WTA: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Selekhmeteva (+1.5)backed Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$98.55
Set Handicap: Chwalinska (-1.5) vs Lamens (+1.5)backed Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$126.49
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Sheltonbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$457.89
Hamburg European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex de Minaurbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.38
Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Minaur (+1.5)backed Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$132.6
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$30.26
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$119.57
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs largadosypelados (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$132.28
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.78
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.55
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.48
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$60.05
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.14
Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Voca (+1.5)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.41
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.24
Counter-Strike: 9z vs ODDIK (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$145.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+52.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$186.67
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavlbacked Avangard Omsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$153.43
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,039Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,769.34
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+155.2%+$1,225.73
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)backed Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$53.54
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$377.19
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$100.9
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.92
KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Dinamo Minsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.36
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Salavat Yulaev Ufabacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$65.67
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+39.3%+$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$116.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$499.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.