CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs largadosypelados (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21479cff1b1ab01d9269532cb850e5d89904e9f09ef3cde3533d62079b1c9bd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBR Academyof MIBR Academy, largadosypelados
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed largadosypelados | 44c | 850$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MIBR Academy | 52c | 656.5$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.29 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MIBR Academy | 76c | 655.25$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.04 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MIBR Academy | 28c | 607.76$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.68 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked largadosypelados | 41c | 405.01$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.32 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked MIBR Academy | 27c | 400$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.1 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…bf76backed largadosypelados | 79c | 378.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…f2ffbacked largadosypelados | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed largadosypelados | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed largadosypelados | 73c | 250$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MIBR Academy | 54c | 250$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed MIBR Academy | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MIBR Academy | 20c | 178.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.81 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked largadosypelados | 23c | 175.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed largadosypelados | 47c | 145$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked largadosypelados | 72c | 140$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed largadosypelados | 49c | 105.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked largadosypelados | 64c | 96.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MIBR Academy | 71c | 89.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked largadosypelados | 70c | 81.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked largadosypelados | 66c | 71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed largadosypelados | 63c | 65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MIBR Academy | 73c | 62.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed largadosypelados | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed MIBR Academy | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…3231backed MIBR Academy | 57c | 49.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed largadosypelados | 49c | 47.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed largadosypelados | 50c | 42.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed MIBR Academy | 60c | 31.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…40fcbacked MIBR Academy | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…c7f9backed largadosypelados | 62c | 25.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed largadosypelados | 71c | 24.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344f…1a45backed largadosypelados | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs largadosypelados (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs largadosypelados - Map 1 WinnerMIBR Academy won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs largadosypelados - Map 2 WinnerMIBR Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.