NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf157f8833aeccf84673c6f0c7679b6d737f5317bf482d35693b3db09a54180c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,674,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,866,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,674,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 849 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Hornets | 30c | 126,529$38,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,248.62 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors | 71c | 123,098$87,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,174.32 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Hornets | 27c | 118,799$32,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,647.91 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Warriors | 68c | 73,673$50,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,575.38 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffa5…0c23backed Warriors | 70c | 61,829$43,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,508.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Hornets | 32c | 58,908$18,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,850.67 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Hornets | 28c | 53,571$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Hornets | 20c | 41,407$8,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,433.45 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Warriors | 72c | 34,845$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,844.74 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Hornets | 29c | 34,607$10,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,035.99 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Warriors | 71c | 33,848$24,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,647.73 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Warriors | 69c | 32,500$22,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,075 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Warriors | 69c | 27,319$18,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,468.99 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Hornets | 24c | 24,899$5,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,970.42 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Hornets | 29c | 24,109$6,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,991.59 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Hornets | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors | 70c | 18,876$13,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,592.27 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Hornets | 30c | 17,667$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde6d…0926backed Warriors | 70c | 16,944$11,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,076.47 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Warriors | 72c | 16,748$12,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,692.44 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 70c | 16,672$11,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,937.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Warriors | 71c | 15,966$11,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700.07 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Hornets | 27c | 15,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050.04 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Hornets | 30c | 14,511$4,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,353.27 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Warriors | 69c | 14,500$10,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,494.99 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Warriors | 70c | 13,519$9,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,055.65 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Hornets | 30c | 12,881$3,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,864.29 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…28bdbacked Hornets | 30c | 12,867$3,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,860.05 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Hornets | 30c | 12,117$3,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,635 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060e…2384backed Hornets | 26c | 10,904$2,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,853.25 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 69c | 10,372$7,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,252.38 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Warriors | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.11 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Warriors | 71c | 9,388$6,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.7 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Hornets | 30c | 9,270$2,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780.97 | 267 | 29.2%78 W · 189 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Hornets | 32c | 9,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d26…be09backed Warriors | 76c | 8,592$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d98…00afbacked Hornets | 29c | 8,300$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Warriors | 70c | 7,731$5,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.43 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Warriors | 72c | 7,691$5,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.96 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 79c | 7,355$5,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.02 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9eb…ae0ebacked Hornets | 31c | 7,058$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Warriors | 71c | 6,805$4,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.74 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3107…63b9backed Warriors | 77c | 6,471$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.51 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1692…831fbacked Hornets | 29c | 6,460$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.51 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…77d4backed Warriors | 69c | 6,101$4,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.31 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Hornets | 30c | 6,100$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.96 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets | 30c | 6,055$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.3 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb802…5bbebacked Warriors | 69c | 5,797$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hornets | 25c | 5,793$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.1 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65cd…1e0bbacked Hornets | 40c | 5,770$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.99 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Warriors | 70c | 5,704$3,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.23 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Hornets | 36c | 5,513$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd864…497ebacked Hornets | 31c | 5,484$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.99 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Warriors | 73c | 5,459$3,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.01 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 70c | 5,205$3,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.04 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 72c | 5,056$3,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93c…ae06backed Warriors | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Warriors | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Hornets | 23c | 4,467$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.22 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3643…7f8ebacked Warriors | 71c | 4,100$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors | 72c | 3,950$2,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.51 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7467…e978backed Warriors | 80c | 3,800$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Hornets | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Hornets | 27c | 3,550$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.5 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Hornets | 27c | 3,519$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Hornets | 30c | 3,387$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Hornets | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed Hornets | 31c | 3,318$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.58 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Hornets | 28c | 3,263$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.29 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Warriors | 67c | 3,200$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 72c | 3,195$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.53 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hornets | 12c | 3,187$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.7 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Hornets | 33c | 3,135$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.28 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 31c | 3,050$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Warriors | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Warriors | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae3e…a5f4backed Hornets | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ea…456fbacked Hornets | 28c | 3,000$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Warriors | 69c | 3,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Warriors | 70c | 2,988$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.34 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…04f4backed Hornets | 12c | 2,900$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 226 | 33.2%75 W · 151 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Warriors | 70c | 2,857$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.14 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Warriors | 70c | 2,857$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.14 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…48e3backed Warriors | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.73 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x638f…4de0backed Warriors | 69c | 2,646$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Hornets | 19c | 2,633$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.74 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Hornets | 30c | 2,633$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.97 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Hornets | 1c | 2,600$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Hornets | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Hornets | 29c | 2,500$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Hornets | 31c | 2,463$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.85 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c70…1d71backed Warriors | 72c | 2,370$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Hornets | 29c | 2,358$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.82 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Hornets | 29c | 2,318$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.09 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Hornets | 26c | 2,315$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed Warriors | 73c | 2,305$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.41 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Warriors | 74c | 2,297$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.84 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Warriors | 70c | 2,264$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.29 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Hornets | 31c | 2,258$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2db…4149backed Warriors | 71c | 2,220$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Hornetsthis page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Hornets won
- Warriors vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.