NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafd33a71ec43ad05101003d23937b36f8723f38b26ec7bdd6b588e6f598aad48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Warriors, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 50c | 93,309$46,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,716.83 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Hornets | 51c | 33,912$17,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,616.86 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Hornets | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Hornets | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Warriors | 49c | 10,760$5,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,280.76 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hornets | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Hornets | 51c | 8,888$4,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,355.12 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hornets | 49c | 6,690$3,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400.31 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 49c | 6,474$3,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,142.05 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Warriors | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hornets | 51c | 4,452$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.32 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors | 46c | 4,209$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.22 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Warriors | 51c | 4,009$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.35 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Warriors | 49c | 3,285$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.88 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Hornets | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hornets | 50c | 2,488$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.25 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Hornets | 54c | 2,322$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.24 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…b1e0backed Hornets | 49c | 2,315$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.85 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Hornets | 47c | 2,152$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.1 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Warriors | 51c | 2,049$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.99 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Hornets | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 52c | 1,818$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Hornets | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.61 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hornets | 51c | 1,290$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.65 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 52c | 1,236$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.34 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Hornets | 48c | 1,177$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.98 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Hornets | 55c | 1,000$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.96 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Hornets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Hornets | 49c | 999.99$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Warriors | 49c | 991.96$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.08 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e10…6a89backed Warriors | 73c | 857.93$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.62 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Hornets | 48c | 749.78$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.88 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 48c | 645.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.97 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Hornets | 19c | 638.85$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.47 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Hornets | 52c | 585.1$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.85 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Hornets | 54c | 547.65$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Warriors | 56c | 534.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Hornets | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Hornets | 52c | 498.08$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.08 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…26e5backed Hornets | 48c | 457.92$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.92 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a0…2396backed Hornets | 52c | 456.29$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df4…3ffabacked Hornets | 47c | 426.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…59fabacked Warriors | 51c | 405.45$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Warriors | 50c | 398.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Hornets | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Hornets | 47c | 385.36$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da5…25edbacked Hornets | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Hornets | 50c | 380$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Hornets | 57c | 327.82$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Warriors | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Warriors | 52c | 315.78$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.81 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Hornets | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Hornets | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb461…d1dabacked Hornets | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Hornets | 52c | 288.72$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.72 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…eca5backed Warriors | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Hornets | 55c | 203.7$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.96 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Hornets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…ab7cbacked Hornets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Hornets | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Hornets | 37c | 196.94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.61 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Warriors | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Hornets | 52c | 194.94$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.57 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Warriors | 52c | 192.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Hornets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Warriors | 49c | 190.41$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.3 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Warriors | 49c | 183$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.67 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…629fbacked Warriors | 49c | 174.85$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Hornets | 53c | 174.22$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Warriors | 53c | 162.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.05 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Warriors | 50c | 159.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Warriors | 50c | 158.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Warriors | 49c | 157.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.31 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Hornets | 44c | 156.13$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Warriors | 46c | 146$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Warriors | 47c | 142$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e4…0641backed Hornets | 75c | 133.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 49c | 133$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Warriors | 61c | 131.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.34 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…3c28backed Hornets | 38c | 117.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Hornets | 51c | 116.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…dedebacked Hornets | 49c | 116.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Warriors | 46c | 115$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Warriors | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8066…3b22backed Hornets | 49c | 103.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Warriors | 52c | 102.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Hornets | 63c | 102.12$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Hornets | 55c | 101.79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Hornets | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…21cbbacked Warriors | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…19d4backed Warriors | 47c | 99.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Hornets | 52c | 98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Hornets | 51c | 90.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Hornets | 54c | 87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Warriors | 52c | 78.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Hornets | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Warriors | 45c | 71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Warriors | 46c | 69.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hornets | 63c | 68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Hornets | 54c | 67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. HornetsWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.