NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b70bff831c008a42737361b6e8f52d63d2a83d0790a7f75903f49bd3009833c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Hornets | 48c | 51,810$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Warriors | 51c | 14,546$7,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,119.07 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 51c | 11,887$6,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,778.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea6…03bebacked Warriors | 49c | 11,100$5,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,661 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed75…536ebacked Hornets | 51c | 11,000$5,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,610 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Hornets | 50c | 7,499$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.75 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Warriors | 53c | 4,887$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,296.78 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Warriors | 53c | 4,700$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Warriors | 53c | 4,551$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.24 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Hornets | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Warriors | 54c | 4,074$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.07 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 52c | 4,066$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.52 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Warriors | 49c | 3,950$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.66 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Warriors | 51c | 3,656$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.03 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors | 50c | 3,281$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Hornets | 51c | 2,755$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.96 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…ca3abacked Hornets | 51c | 2,543$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.93 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Warriors | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 47c | 2,465$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.81 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Warriors | 53c | 2,448$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.75 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…6ae2backed Hornets | 51c | 2,432$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…b291backed Warriors | 49c | 2,432$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cb…4d21backed Warriors | 49c | 2,399$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.49 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…a686backed Hornets | 51c | 2,224$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…b134backed Warriors | 49c | 2,224$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.24 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Hornets | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…a070backed Hornets | 51c | 2,115$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.62 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.31per pick | 50cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Hornets | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Hornets | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f82…f278backed Warriors | 49c | 1,986$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hornets | 47c | 1,982$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.66 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.89 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Hornets | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…04e7backed Warriors | 49c | 1,959$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.06 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Hornets | 48c | 1,856$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.88 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Warriors | 51c | 1,514$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.86 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9eb…ae0ebacked Hornets | 47c | 1,334$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,225$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.49 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Warriors | 52c | 1,204$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.81 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Warriors | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Warriors | 51c | 1,156$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.86 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Hornets | 51c | 1,131$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.74 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Hornets | 46c | 1,018$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.5 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Hornets | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Warriors | 54c | 891.67$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.17 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Hornets | 51c | 847.14$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.04 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors | 51c | 775.21$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.86 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Warriors | 54c | 769.99$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.97 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Warriors | 50c | 757.5$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.75 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 50c | 756$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.96 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Hornets | 44c | 749.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Warriors | 53c | 726.01$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.23 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Hornets | 47c | 694.55$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.44 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 51c | 604.23$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.08 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Warriors | 52c | 599.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Warriors | 57c | 584.69$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.08 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Warriors | 53c | 567.6$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.75 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1021…e648backed Warriors | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Warriors | 56c | 526.78$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.78 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb461…d1dabacked Hornets | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Hornets | 48c | 417.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Hornets | 49c | 368.55$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.59 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…bf76backed Hornets | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…14adbacked Warriors | 49c | 298.96$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.47 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Hornets | 48c | 279.46$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.21 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Warriors | 49c | 260.04$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.77 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…fe1abacked Warriors | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Warriors | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8da5…25edbacked Hornets | 52c | 226.69$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.88 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Warriors | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Warriors | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…f721backed Warriors | 52c | 198.13$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.1 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…a127backed Hornets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Hornets | 48c | 195.79$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.02 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Warriors | 51c | 161.19$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.98 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Hornets | 48c | 153.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.91 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Warriors | 55c | 144.25$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…bc95backed Warriors | 54c | 133.33$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Warriors | 56c | 121.16$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.31 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Hornets | 52c | 120.02$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Hornets | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Hornets | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…9fc1backed Warriors | 51c | 111.27$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…6b37backed Hornets | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Hornets | 48c | 107$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Warriors | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Warriors | 50c | 101.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Warriors | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Hornets | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Warriors | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…fccdbacked Warriors | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27c9…2278backed Hornets | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Warriors | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Hornets | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Warriors | 52c | 80.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Warriors | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Hornets | 50c | 74.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Hornets | 47c | 74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Hornets | 51c | 70.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Hornets won
- Warriors vs. HornetsWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.