NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbdd816e6e0d0525fd407c180154c0c8b51ff92b3696d829ab483a7d7d61e4be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa85c…54b5backed Under | 48c | 27,000$12,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,960 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3700…3c06backed Over | 52c | 26,900$13,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,912 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 13,439$6,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,402.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 53c | 11,842$6,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,565.75 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 50c | 6,919$3,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,459.31 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 47c | 4,374$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.89 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 4,332$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.33 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.83 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 3,163$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.84 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0f…69b2backed Over | 54c | 3,012$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Under | 46c | 2,805$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.3 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 47c | 2,794$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.3 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 51c | 2,249$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.16 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 1,669$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.44 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Over | 53c | 1,653$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.91 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Under | 51c | 1,556$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.72 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659e…d0b0backed Over | 55c | 1,540$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 50c | 1,514$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 49c | 1,499$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.67 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 70c | 1,415$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 1,352$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.44 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…a744backed Under | 52c | 1,309$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.55 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…1a5dbacked Over | 49c | 1,306$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.12 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f82…f278backed Over | 51c | 1,133$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Over | 55c | 1,088$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.67 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 50c | 1,064$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 53c | 1,038$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.86 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21a…c0c6backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 50c | 998$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 53c | 865$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.55 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 46c | 799.98$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Over | 67c | 742.02$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.02 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 661.58$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.62 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 51c | 563$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.87 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9eb…ae0ebacked Under | 46c | 552.42$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.28 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 523.46$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.77 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…ec08backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 53c | 479.25$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.25 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…2579backed Over | 64c | 452.46$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.65 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed Over | 54c | 447.84$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.84 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 51c | 410.12$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.96 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a0…2396backed Over | 54c | 405.57$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Over | 52c | 404$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +55%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8da5…25edbacked Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 68c | 350$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 47c | 286$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.41 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 47c | 247$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.09 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 60c | 201.34$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 26c | 194.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Under | 33c | 151.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 48c | 135$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 47c | 134.72$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 48c | 128.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 25c | 115.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Under | 49c | 115$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…fbeabacked Under | 13c | 114$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 51c | 111$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Over | 48c | 107$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…74cfbacked Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bd…11bebacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 66c | 98.82$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Under | 51c | 97.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbc…d46fbacked Over | 54c | 93.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…224cbacked Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Over | 48c | 77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 52c | 76.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 48c | 71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Over | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 51c | 67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0a…7d46backed Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Over | 52c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 46c | 58.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 38c | 56.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 48c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Under | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Under | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b6…2c52backed Under | 45c | 47.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Over | 52c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Over | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Over | 52c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…3c28backed Under | 39c | 40.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Hornets won
- Warriors vs. HornetsWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.