TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0dbc…d46f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$70.91
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$96.46
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$16.27
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$15.45
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Hawksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15.89
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$53.99
Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+86.3%+$43.17
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$12.7
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12.3
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Magic vs. Trail Blazers: 1H Moneylinebacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bordeaux: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Quentin Halysbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Zadar: Daniel Michalski vs Arthur Geabacked Daniel Michalski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
Alcaraz vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.31
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+65.3%+$25.26
Open Sud de France, Qualification: Matteo Martineau vs Martin Dammbacked Martineau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Adelaide International: Yulia Putintseva vs Dalma Galfibacked Galfi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Adelaide International: Andrea Vavassori vs Gabriel Diallobacked Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$26.68
ASB Classic: Fabian Marozsan vs Gael Monfilsbacked Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$98.88
Adelaide International: Damir Dzumhur vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$21.01
Adelaide International: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Sebastian Kordabacked Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+315.5%+$38.59
Adelaide International: Ugo Humbert vs Terence Atmanebacked Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.58
Adelaide International: Daria Kasatkina vs Maria Sakkaribacked Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+43.8%+$21.23
Adelaide International: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+83.4%+$25.03
ASB Classic: Emilio Nava vs Sebastian Baezbacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+155.6%+$37.38
Brisbane International: Sebastian Korda vs Alex Michelsenbacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.48
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-69.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.42
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+114.9%+$26.32
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$28.81
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25.49
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.11
Will Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+36.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+344.2%+$79.16
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+274.9%+$192.18
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the 49ers win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$45.8
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$23.33
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.98
Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$19.38
Spread: Lions (-7.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$13.37
Spread: Cowboys (-9.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+88.7%+$12.42
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+43.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+162.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+162.8%+$81.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$23.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. Bryant Bulldogsbacked Bryant Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$18.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.