Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74424fe4bb3995b666966e1d004dc4a205d596048cd741edb14eb25fd24a923a

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 11, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $122,398
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $129,006

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,398 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	61c	26,858$16,381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,476.59	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Over	59c	20,339$12,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,000	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over	31c	19,170$6,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,001	239	26.4%63 W · 176 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	40c	9,521$3,851 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,670.05	850	48.4%411 W · 439 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over	58c	8,000$4,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,639.98	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Over	61c	7,000$4,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,270	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…d35fbacked Under	41c	7,000$2,870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,130	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under	42c	6,000$2,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,479.99	386	49%189 W · 197 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Under	41c	3,762$1,542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,219.44	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	-5.4wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under	45c	3,100$1,409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,690.97	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over	8c	3,000$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.87	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	42c	2,450$1,027 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,422.51	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	41c	1,823$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,082.65	524	54.2%284 W · 240 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over	58c	1,805$1,045 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,044.98	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	21c	1,234$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.43	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	41c	1,203$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$709.77	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over	58c	1,121$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650.18	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over	59c	985.69$582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$581.56	330	57%188 W · 142 L	+17.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Over	39c	895.51$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.25	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	54c	886.44$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.27	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Over	59c	762.71$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over	60c	641$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.7	301	43.9%132 W · 169 L	-16.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under	47c	563.99$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.04	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over	55c	545.45$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	57	52.6%30 W · 27 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over	56c	535.71$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	78	47.4%37 W · 41 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over	60c	500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	200	40.5%81 W · 119 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Over	61c	494.17$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over	57c	438.6$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over	59c	424.3$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	174	28.2%49 W · 125 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under	43c	424.19$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.65	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec5…58eabacked Over	58c	419.99$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.3	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb295…e601backed Over	60c	416.67$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.21per pick	51cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under	43c	403.87$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.2	130	54.6%71 W · 59 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+15%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over	59c	400$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236	399	48.4%193 W · 206 L	+9.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d20…1f58backed Over	37c	358.9$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.85	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over	58c	350$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over	47c	320.16$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.8	102	34.3%35 W · 67 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Under	48c	314.69$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.69	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	137	60.6%83 W · 54 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over	55c	281.82$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	72	50%36 W · 36 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over	59c	249.99$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.49	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x981f…8993backed Under	41c	243.9$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.9	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Under	41c	243.9$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.9	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over	59c	240$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.6	605	57.5%348 W · 257 L	+25.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	599	58.9%353 W · 246 L	+26.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over	59c	200$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	375	57.3%215 W · 160 L	+21.2wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over	55c	193.68$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.52	234	35.9%84 W · 150 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Over	52c	190.71$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.17	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over	59c	188$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.92	141	66.7%94 W · 47 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f51…41edbacked Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over	58c	172.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde7a…737bbacked Over	59c	169.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	36c	164.44$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.56	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed Over	61c	163.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under	39c	149.98$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.49	114	43.9%50 W · 64 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over	60c	148.99$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.39	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3f3…9b44backed Under	41c	133.9$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+3.1wins	+0.26per pick	41cpaid	+52.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Under	42c	121.42$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.42	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over	28c	117.86$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-5.1wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Under	42c	114.36$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.33	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under	48c	111.32$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.48	1,264	33.7%426 W · 838 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Over	48c	102.08$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	50	34%17 W · 33 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1669…1363backed Over	60c	100$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	59	32.2%19 W · 40 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc906…6e03backed Under	43c	100$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0291…cf1bbacked Under	46c	98.72$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.31	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over	59c	96$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.64	322	55.9%180 W · 142 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over	59c	96$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.64	327	55.7%182 W · 145 L	+13.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Under	48c	90.9$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.27	191	54.5%104 W · 87 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over	57c	90.86$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.89	163	57.1%93 W · 70 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over	28c	90$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.15per pick	43cpaid	+34%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over	56c	89.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	145	51.7%75 W · 70 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Under	46c	86.96$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.96	65	27.7%18 W · 47 L	-6.9wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	39c	82.45$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.27	1,224	42.3%518 W · 706 L	-27.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under	41c	79.99$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.79	146	48.6%71 W · 75 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Over	19c	78.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	110	19.1%21 W · 89 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Under	76c	78.95$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.95	118	50.8%60 W · 58 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Over	58c	75.75$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.94	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…9c83backed Under	40c	73$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.8	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+16%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Over	36c	70.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	96	27.1%26 W · 70 L	-8.7wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Over	55c	70$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	168	63.1%106 W · 62 L	+13.3wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafaf…7744backed Over	59c	69.49$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over	58c	67.02$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.87	118	50%59 W · 59 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	60c	65$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	556	54.9%305 W · 251 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over	59c	61.34$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.28	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over	50c	61$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.67	241	46.1%111 W · 130 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb985…cf92backed Under	41c	60.98$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.98	39	59%23 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over	54c	60$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	184	49.5%91 W · 93 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	60c	58.33$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	408	41.9%171 W · 237 L	-8.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over	61c	57.38$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	160	45.6%73 W · 87 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd252…2fa7backed Over	56c	53.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under	62c	53.21$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.08	426	58%247 W · 179 L	+24.6wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over	55c	52.52$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.99	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbcb…1879backed Over	40c	52.5$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-3.1wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	60c	50.2$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	118	39.8%47 W · 71 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over	59c	48$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.32	145	60%87 W · 58 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over	59c	48$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.32	277	58.8%163 W · 114 L	+17.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2031…5ee7backed Under	42c	47.62$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.62	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f3d…fea8backed Over	55c	45.45$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-4.8wins	-0.19per pick	51cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5this page
Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Under won
Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event