Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bf84dc1773136d47c592e2141fee7e224678125ec04eab77324de44b8b67f06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brighton & Hove Albion FCof Aston Villa FC, Brighton & Hove Albion FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Aston Villa FC | 27c | 7,407$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 74c | 6,717$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.29 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 74c | 3,876$2,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.82 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 73c | 2,493$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.2 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Aston Villa FC | 26c | 2,161$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.22 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Aston Villa FC | 25c | 1,249$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.75 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 75c | 1,082$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.96 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 74c | 999.99$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Aston Villa FC | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Aston Villa FC | 27c | 742.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.41 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7839…54cbbacked Aston Villa FC | 25c | 400.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…b46fbacked Aston Villa FC | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…c795backed Aston Villa FC | 26c | 354.54$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.18 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…0019backed Aston Villa FC | 21c | 338.39$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Aston Villa FC | 28c | 270.07$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Aston Villa FC | 27c | 177.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Aston Villa FC | 26c | 153$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…e601backed Aston Villa FC | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Aston Villa FC | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 73c | 110$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Aston Villa FC | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 191 | 28.8%55 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed Aston Villa FC | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Aston Villa FC | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Aston Villa FC | 18c | 89.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Aston Villa FC | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Aston Villa FC | 21c | 84.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Aston Villa FC | 27c | 81.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 162 | 33.3%54 W · 108 L | -14.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 78c | 69.87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce2…40bcbacked Aston Villa FC | 25c | 61.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0418…d347backed Aston Villa FC | 26c | 60.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Aston Villa FC | 24c | 52.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 101 | 24.8%25 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Aston Villa FC | 25c | 49.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 75c | 45.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…62b3backed Aston Villa FC | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…9c0ebacked Aston Villa FC | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 73c | 27.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…15aebacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 75c | 23.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9180…5af8backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 76c | 22.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 74c | 21.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…7043backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 76c | 20.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8c…a80dbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 75c | 19.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1eb…4272backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 76c | 18.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88da…3eabbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 76c | 18.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…f291backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 75c | 17.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +96%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed6a…841ebacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 75c | 16.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec5…58eabacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 75c | 15.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 77c | 14.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.