Premier League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefdbdf5bd3d422f357d3e23805b8d2d20ac38aa82cd84f50834d5281ecfaf317
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 5,530$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,073.8 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 62c | 4,098$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.75 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 1,951$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.38 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 38c | 1,632$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.56 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.82 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 63c | 1,071$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.97 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed No | 41c | 999.95$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.97 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 57c | 782.91$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 772.67$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.23 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 43c | 684.54$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.15 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 59c | 588.16$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 57c | 561.4$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 59c | 403.21$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.17 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Yes | 62c | 399.83$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3204…7ac1backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 41c | 299.98$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.99 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 45c | 165.96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 57c | 156.14$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…9a98backed Yes | 41c | 147.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 59c | 125.49$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 54c | 93.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…2e7fbacked Yes | 63c | 92.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 59c | 88.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 44c | 85.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…6334backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 70.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 39c | 68.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 40c | 61.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed No | 69c | 51.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Yes | 62c | 49.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f9…bad8backed Yes | 57c | 48.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Yes | 59c | 43.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 40c | 39.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 44c | 36.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0768…1783backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…6d42backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 57c | 34.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe852…3fe6backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 64c | 34.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Yes | 63c | 33.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…7197backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd033…033dbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 41c | 29.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Yes | 63c | 25.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…2bf7backed No | 42c | 24.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc205…eec2backed Yes | 50c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…2428backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Yes | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 57c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…0af0backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e3…bdacbacked Yes | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.