TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x71ab…0af0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Olympics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$948Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$947.88
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+325.9%+$99.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$19.64
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.61
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$371.61
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.34
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Iran strike Safaniya Field by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$162.36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+155.7%+$108.97
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+113.4%+$53.15
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$84.13
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$61.21
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+117.8%+$765.7
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+49.3%+$98.51
All 25 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$228.49
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.75
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+583.8%+$875.74
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+185.3%+$347.03
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+63.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.2
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+324.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+324.6%+$459.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+100%+$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$96.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Marcos Giron vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.