Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf51080bdb47bb881b9d041a9543c10d4210d6a9017b0077b76c36de6c32846fb

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $172,061
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $170,039

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,061 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 483 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Yes	38c	37,279$14,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,064.84	71	40.8%29 W · 42 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No	61c	26,780$16,336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,444.19	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	63c	17,500$11,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,474.84	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x890e…db10backed Yes	39c	12,690$4,899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,899	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No	62c	9,239$5,728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,510.71	218	36.2%79 W · 139 L	-19.0wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	64c	9,161$5,893 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,267.46	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb014…a357backed No	62c	8,843$5,483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,360.43	156	42.9%67 W · 89 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No	60c	8,302$4,996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,305.78	343	57.7%198 W · 145 L	+26.2wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes	44c	7,414$3,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,281.45	224	48.2%108 W · 116 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8504…88dcbacked Yes	38c	5,772$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+4.1wins	+0.17per pick	45cpaid	+39.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No	62c	5,666$3,522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,143.49	97	67%65 W · 32 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed No	62c	5,250$3,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,969.98	240	58.8%141 W · 99 L	+19.8wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed No	61c	4,999$3,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,949.78	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No	60c	4,729$2,837 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,891.46	379	59.1%224 W · 155 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	72c	4,096$2,966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,130.25	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked No	62c	4,000$2,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,520	113	43.4%49 W · 64 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No	62c	4,000$2,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,520	292	50.7%148 W · 144 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	62c	3,887$2,418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,469.27	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes	38c	3,500$1,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,330.03	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+9.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dae…fff9backed Yes	39c	3,200$1,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,248	66	31.8%21 W · 45 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Yes	38c	3,063$1,164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,164	132	37.1%49 W · 83 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes	38c	3,000$1,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,129.94	352	29.3%103 W · 249 L	+14.0wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c8…7cc8backed No	62c	2,981$1,848 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,132.65	122	41%50 W · 72 L	-8.3wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf511…bfe4backed No	65c	2,891$1,893 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$998.32	145	79.3%115 W · 30 L	+17.0wins	+0.12per pick	68cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x851a…6b12backed Yes	38c	2,632$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	96	31.3%30 W · 66 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed No	79c	2,582$2,049 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$532.76	114	40.4%46 W · 68 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4362…9e47backed Yes	39c	2,564$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes	31c	2,466$769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$768.68	350	36.3%127 W · 223 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	26c	2,202$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577.59	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Yes	38c	2,046$777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777.4	264	45.1%119 W · 145 L	+17.5wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No	62c	2,000$1,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$759.93	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ed…e3bfbacked No	62c	1,845$1,144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$701.1	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…4d6ebacked Yes	39c	1,801$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x705e…22fdbacked No	62c	1,432$888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$544.26	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb014…4969backed Yes	38c	1,408$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.15	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes	10c	1,400$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.79	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked No	60c	1,391$834 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$556.23	115	58.3%67 W · 48 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4029…c8b3backed Yes	40c	1,341$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.25	53	26.4%14 W · 39 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes	38c	1,320$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.6	255	37.6%96 W · 159 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c3c…dc1dbacked Yes	39c	1,313$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512.07	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Yes	38c	1,284$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.06	105	37.1%39 W · 66 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34ec…f538backed Yes	39c	1,228$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479	51	37.3%19 W · 32 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed No	62c	1,195$742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$452.77	149	45%67 W · 82 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked No	61c	1,148$702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.98	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	+6.1wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	-6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x68d0…b4dabacked Yes	39c	1,137$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.09	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc63e…e611backed Yes	36c	1,116$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x032b…9d22backed Yes	3c	1,018$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.34	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-69.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed No	62c	999.26$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$379.72	65	64.6%42 W · 23 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20c6…45aebacked Yes	39c	980.98$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	127	36.2%46 W · 81 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed No	62c	935$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355.3	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No	54c	871.86$471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.16	722	47.2%341 W · 381 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes	34c	864.5$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.28	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Yes	5c	859.6$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.62	234	27.8%65 W · 169 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	69c	831.4$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.57	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No	62c	829.45$514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.19	362	50%181 W · 181 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No	59c	824.41$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.98	288	73.3%211 W · 77 L	+21.7wins	+0.08per pick	66cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72b8…9915backed Yes	37c	810.81$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	24cpaid	-84.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes	38c	789.47$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	165	49.1%81 W · 84 L	+7.3wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x880c…265cbacked Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+156.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7b6…022cbacked Yes	39c	769.23$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	146	52.1%76 W · 70 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7544…ea2dbacked Yes	39c	757$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.23	116	34.5%40 W · 76 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked No	62c	753.59$467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.36	204	48%98 W · 106 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No	62c	747.52$463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.06	154	41.6%64 W · 90 L	+12.7wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed No	62c	745$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.1	243	44.9%109 W · 134 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No	73c	736.88$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.72	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes	41c	731.71$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No	73c	672.8$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.26	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e0e…229ebacked Yes	39c	670.03$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.31	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+2.7wins	+0.27per pick	33cpaid	+139.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4680…8e40backed Yes	37c	608.11$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	+3.3wins	+0.10per pick	28cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f47…08b4backed Yes	40c	592.86$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-4.8wins	-0.13per pick	36cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	61c	583.54$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.78	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed No	52c	561.31$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.43	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+3.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+69.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf310…9f74backed Yes	24c	535.77$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	89	33.7%30 W · 59 L	+6.5wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda46…e6e3backed Yes	38c	526.32$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	51	35.3%18 W · 33 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c18…a04cbacked Yes	38c	526.32$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e41…3745backed Yes	38c	526.32$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	63	38.1%24 W · 39 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7ec…0931backed Yes	38c	519.57$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d61…20acbacked Yes	38c	514.79$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.62	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Yes	39c	512.82$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	379	55.7%211 W · 168 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5690…7a58backed No	40c	512.36$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.95	87	31%27 W · 60 L	+7.4wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe76d…f666backed Yes	37c	505.41$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187	95	30.5%29 W · 66 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Yes	38c	500$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Yes	38c	500$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	232	40.5%94 W · 138 L	-11.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75f5…6070backed Yes	39c	500$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08e2…1371backed No	61c	473.03$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.58	34	76.5%26 W · 8 L	+3.4wins	+0.10per pick	66cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	30c	463.34$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.67	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa95e…11f6backed Yes	43c	461.19$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-3.4wins	-0.10per pick	34cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No	60c	450.4$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.22	597	52.1%311 W · 286 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Yes	38c	450$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a1f…943ebacked Yes	28c	447$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.16	51	27.5%14 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	37c	431.87$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.7	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4cb…a366backed No	63c	407.43$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.75	133	37.6%50 W · 83 L	-9.0wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes	37c	399.99$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.99	228	46.5%106 W · 122 L	+10.3wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes	38c	394.74$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	551	53%292 W · 259 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8aa…e4d1backed Yes	38c	384.99$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	251	50.6%127 W · 124 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bec…d26abacked Yes	39c	384.62$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	125	33.6%42 W · 83 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Yes	39c	384.62$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	161	23.6%38 W · 123 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed No	62c	375.29$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.61	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x322b…2718backed No	63c	349.97$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.49	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92e1…6fc9backed Yes	39c	330.9$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.05	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 49 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event