Fifa International · resolved market
Ayase Ueda: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c3bd8e14ccbad0c47ac8019ce423e1d35eb80c30a6032f1f90471be21b95dd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Yes | 20c | 2,095$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.31 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,614$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…3601backed Yes | 19c | 1,200$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…a357backed Yes | 20c | 599$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.8 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 13.7%27 W · 170 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf408…afe0backed Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 34cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e41…3745backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…a366backed Yes | 18c | 410.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Yes | 13c | 406.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 141 | 16.3%23 W · 118 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a30…9e38backed Yes | 18c | 379.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09dd…7e13backed No | 80c | 319.04$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.81 | 379 | 44.1%167 W · 212 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed No | 80c | 277$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…914bbacked Yes | 20c | 201.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Yes | 20c | 190.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Yes | 20c | 190.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Yes | 17c | 182.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b7…2f8bbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Yes | 19c | 147$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb6…e636backed Yes | 22c | 146.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Yes | 19c | 140$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 16c | 135.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 17c | 135.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5d…946ebacked Yes | 18c | 133.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 15c | 126.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x971f…1e98backed Yes | 20c | 123.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ca…a1b4backed Yes | 20c | 102.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…3ff8backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b20…db9bbacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 146 | 34.2%50 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f06…a799backed Yes | 20c | 97.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…1abcbacked Yes | 17c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe69d…a199backed Yes | 17c | 85.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…ae85backed Yes | 18c | 84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 16c | 76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…2407backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4751…c559backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…ac32backed Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df3…b8bebacked Yes | 20c | 61.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…1d2abacked Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b32…90bdbacked Yes | 18c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 199 | 44.2%88 W · 111 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…64ddbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…9241backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…359fbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x157c…cbc8backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578b…3b07backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 49 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ayase Ueda: 1+ goalsthis page
- Ayase Ueda: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ayase Ueda: 1+ shots on targetYes won
- Ayase Ueda: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ayase Ueda: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ayase Ueda: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ayase Ueda: 3+ shotsNo won
- Bruno Guimarães: 1+ assistsYes won
- Bruno Guimarães: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Guimarães: 2+ assistsNo won
- Casemiro: 1+ goalsYes won
- Daizen Maeda: 1+ assistsNo won
- Daizen Maeda: 1+ goalsNo won
- Daizen Maeda: 2+ assistsNo won
- Daizen Maeda: 2+ goalsNo won
- Endrick: 1+ goalsNo won
- Endrick: 3+ goalsNo won
- Junya Itō: 2+ goalsNo won
- Keito Nakamura: 1+ assistsNo won
- Keito Nakamura: 1+ goalsNo won
- Keito Nakamura: 1+ shotsNo won
- Keito Nakamura: 2+ assistsNo won
- Keito Nakamura: 2+ goalsNo won
- Keito Nakamura: 2+ shotsNo won
- Lucas Paquetá: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lucas Paquetá: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lucas Paquetá: 1+ shotsYes won
- Lucas Paquetá: 2+ assistsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 1+ assistsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 1+ goalsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 2+ goalsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 3+ goalsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 3+ shotsYes won
- Neymar Jr: 1+ assistsNo won
- Neymar Jr: 1+ goalsNo won
- Neymar Jr: 2+ goalsNo won
- Neymar Jr: 3+ goalsNo won
- Raphinha: 1+ goalsNo won
- Rayan: 1+ assistsNo won
- Rayan: 1+ goalsNo won
- Rayan: 2+ goalsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ assistsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shotsYes won
- Vinícius Júnior: 2+ assistsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goalsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goalsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shotsYes won
- Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.