TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x09dd…7e13

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
423
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT37944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 379 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$179
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13,267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,267.45
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$341.32
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$8,456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,455.82
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$834Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$833.75
France vs. England: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.96
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.32
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$432
France vs. England: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$898Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$302
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10,199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$3,278.65
France vs. England: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,968Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$2,514.23
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$806.4
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,300
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,790Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$1,720.36
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14,499Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+114.7%+$16,630.42
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$9,322Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$7,477.15
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$693Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+201.8%+$1,398.42
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$997.75
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10,302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,301.81
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.29
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,467Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,466.72
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$520
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$61.62
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,015Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+110.4%+$1,120.74
Showing 25 of 379 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$67.6
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$135.06
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$783Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$484.87
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+115%+$357.36
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$20.73
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.69
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,215Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$968.63
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.34
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$62.39
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$82.48
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+113.1%+$561.71
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$381.8
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.94
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.01
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$890Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$271.28
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.73
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+169.9%+$434.95
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$934Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$934.25
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$932Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+187.4%+$1,745.45
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.82
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.9
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,595Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+158.8%+$8,882.57
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,249.15
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$516
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$207.6
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-70.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,361.74
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,783Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,782.98
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.85
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$551.92
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,060Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,440
All 5 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,664Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,664
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,454.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.