CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36a8090a138c73e6a3237ee84c14f2d8ccc902b2f7b1000f1fdd72c871e06d28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Natus Vincere, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,660,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,755,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,660,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 308,387$110,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,912.97 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed Spirit | 63c | 144,692$91,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,036.07 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Spirit | 65c | 100,000$65,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,999.98 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 91,408$32,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,906.77 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 80,198$27,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,817.37 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 75,000$27,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,999.82 | 757 | 58.3%441 W · 316 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Spirit | 64c | 74,945$47,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,980.3 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Spirit | 64c | 65,000$41,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,250 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 53,200$7,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,744.29 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Spirit | 63c | 48,516$30,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,950.81 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5291…d4b6backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 44,837$7,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,173.95 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 40,358$14,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,932.38 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 34,976$12,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,658.57 | 754 | 52.7%397 W · 357 L | +27.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Spirit | 63c | 30,000$19,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,999.99 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Spirit | 63c | 29,170$18,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,793.06 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 27,150$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa5…2aa1backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 23,827$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Spirit | 64c | 23,314$14,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,392.96 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 20,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.99 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…47ccbacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 18,730$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 18,448$6,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,456.65 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…a6c3backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 16,045$5,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,916.37 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Spirit | 79c | 15,041$11,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140.74 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 15,000$5,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,340 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Spirit | 64c | 15,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.95 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Spirit | 64c | 14,320$9,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,155.31 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 12,326$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.98 | 1,567 | 29.8%467 W · 1,100 L | -86.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Spirit | 63c | 12,000$7,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,440 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Spirit | 65c | 12,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 11,860$3,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,187.06 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018c…9794backed Spirit | 65c | 11,846$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,146.15 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…1a8cbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 10,811$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Spirit | 63c | 10,660$6,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,918.75 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Spirit | 64c | 10,156$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,656.25 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47b3…039cbacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Spirit | 65c | 9,000$5,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.99 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa65…908bbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 8,975$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Spirit | 64c | 8,874$5,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,194.64 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…2620backed Spirit | 70c | 8,802$6,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640.48 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed Spirit | 64c | 8,743$5,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e570backed Spirit | 64c | 8,632$5,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.52 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Natus Vincere | 4c | 8,048$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.9 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Spirit | 64c | 7,813$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.5 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 7,631$2,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,670.84 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Spirit | 63c | 7,000$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.99 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 7,000$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.99 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 6,669$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…f1e2backed Spirit | 64c | 6,500$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…9e9fbacked Spirit | 65c | 6,247$4,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193.75 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Spirit | 64c | 6,202$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.92 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed Spirit | 65c | 6,200$4,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd756…a817backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 6,191$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Spirit | 64c | 6,109$3,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.38 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1305…46d2backed Spirit | 63c | 6,103$3,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257.94 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd528…a2d2backed Spirit | 62c | 6,020$3,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.96 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…5f4abacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 6,004$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.72 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Spirit | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…78f7backed Spirit | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 5,797$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.51 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Natus Vincere | 15c | 5,664$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.85 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Spirit | 64c | 5,635$3,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.67 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit | 64c | 5,549$3,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.39 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Spirit | 63c | 5,400$3,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.99 | 846 | 58.4%494 W · 352 L | +60.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 5,196$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.82 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…c9c6backed Spirit | 64c | 5,122$3,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…c3debacked Spirit | 65c | 5,071$3,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Spirit | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Spirit | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Spirit | 63c | 4,762$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.9 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…46e0backed Spirit | 64c | 4,653$2,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f4…4a97backed Spirit | 65c | 4,620$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 12c | 4,546$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.73 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…8b42backed Spirit | 64c | 4,522$2,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.12 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Spirit | 78c | 4,467$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.54 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 4,419$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.17 | 215 | 22.3%48 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…f490backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 4,222$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 4,172$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed Spirit | 65c | 4,154$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.85 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Spirit | 64c | 4,074$2,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.56 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Spirit | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.99 | 665 | 51.9%345 W · 320 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…6ccdbacked Spirit | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 3,973$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.74 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1697…c29dbacked Spirit | 63c | 3,968$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…08edbacked Spirit | 64c | 3,911$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.06 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 12c | 3,699$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.24 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…6b17backed Spirit | 78c | 3,650$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…5e95backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 3,637$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 3,628$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.51 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Spirit | 63c | 3,500$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 3,500$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.96 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Spirit | 64c | 3,428$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.2 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 3,378$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.84 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 3,300$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 3,271$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 167 | 32.9%55 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…c9f9backed Spirit | 64c | 3,185$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.53 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 3,182$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.85 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Spirit | 64c | 3,146$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Spirit | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Spirit | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.99 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.