CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf8f81195d90607d15be54241431cae6107a33dcf7667a88802722f38cbde1d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Natus Vincere, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $748,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $839,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $748,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 611 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Spirit | 63c | 100,000$63,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,999.99 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5291…d4b6backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 97,527$36,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,084.9 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd528…a2d2backed Spirit | 75c | 28,352$21,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,228.19 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 27,753$10,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,823.83 | 766 | 57.8%443 W · 323 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 27,715$10,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,588.16 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Spirit | 60c | 25,000$14,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,002.11 | 502 | 54.2%272 W · 230 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…1fb2backed Spirit | 63c | 23,406$14,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,746.42 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 23,183$10,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,073.44 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spirit | 66c | 20,377$13,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,889.71 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed Spirit | 57c | 20,000$11,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,700 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Spirit | 60c | 18,523$11,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,442.49 | 463 | 49.9%231 W · 232 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Spirit | 60c | 17,091$10,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,775.49 | 653 | 51.9%339 W · 314 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 15,063$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4814backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 8,711$3,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.58 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Spirit | 49c | 7,556$3,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,871.23 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe6…7027backed Spirit | 54c | 7,040$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,238.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Spirit | 55c | 6,649$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.4 | 222 | 30.2%67 W · 155 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Spirit | 46c | 6,470$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,469.55 | 385 | 46.2%178 W · 207 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 6,087$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 367 | 53.7%197 W · 170 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6e…b0e0backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 6,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.7 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 6,000$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.99 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…80a3backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 5,983$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.03 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc304…c6bbbacked Spirit | 78c | 5,862$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.56 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Spirit | 61c | 5,700$3,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Spirit | 60c | 5,128$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.2 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 5,008$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.28 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.99 | 789 | 39.5%312 W · 477 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…ea72backed Spirit | 61c | 4,978$3,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa0…253cbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 4,854$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.76 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 4,852$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.73 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Spirit | 60c | 4,836$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.11 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 4,824$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,658.03 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked Spirit | 66c | 4,750$3,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.49 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 4,600$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.29 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 4,383$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.33 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 4,373$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.01 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…4268backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 4,150$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 4,059$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.2 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 4,015$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.75 | 1,020 | 52.2%532 W · 488 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Spirit | 63c | 3,874$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.38 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Spirit | 53c | 3,756$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.13 | 258 | 55%142 W · 116 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 3,705$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 3,688$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.31 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 3,673$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469 | 361 | 45.4%164 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 3,559$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.73 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 3,529$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 3,271$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.27 | 458 | 59%270 W · 188 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…6b17backed Spirit | 69c | 3,050$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.49 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed Spirit | 61c | 2,980$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.54 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 2,916$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.72 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Spirit | 76c | 2,889$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.91 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 2,848$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.5 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…04b2backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 2,801$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.37 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 2,680$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.85 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Spirit | 58c | 2,537$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.22 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…4fb2backed Spirit | 60c | 2,489$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.45 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 2,435$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.78 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Spirit | 71c | 2,386$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.07 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 2,309$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.17 | 972 | 40.7%396 W · 576 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5426…bb98backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 2,250$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,195$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.78 | 294 | 43.9%129 W · 165 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Spirit | 80c | 2,190$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.99 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 2,185$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.82 | 332 | 32.2%107 W · 225 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 2,091$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…5e95backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 2,052$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 2,003$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.11 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.04 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Spirit | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 2,000$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.5 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…6583backed Spirit | 59c | 2,000$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.16 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Spirit | 58c | 1,996$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.02 | 413 | 40.2%166 W · 247 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 1,991$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.25 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,957$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.31 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,950$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,930$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.59 | 659 | 46.9%309 W · 350 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,880$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Spirit | 58c | 1,795$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.75 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,743$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523 | 201 | 41.8%84 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit | 61c | 1,662$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.19 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Spirit | 61c | 1,650$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.5 | 755 | 45.6%344 W · 411 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Spirit | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,599$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit | 61c | 1,592$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.8 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,579$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.09 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 1,478$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.7 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 1,444$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…74c2backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,425$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -10.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Spirit | 59c | 1,418$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.52 | 878 | 47.9%421 W · 457 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d8…cf41backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 1,390$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Spirit | 56c | 1,363$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.35 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Spirit | 63c | 1,274$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.4 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Natus Vincere | 13c | 1,273$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.66 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c0…91f1backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,271$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.55 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e0…896fbacked Spirit | 61c | 1,251$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Spirit | 61c | 1,250$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a6…a3e0backed Spirit | 74c | 1,250$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.2 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Spirit won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.