CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32b387ef41a25e257b710a328038f08a3376f80d13313e36c02f609dafc7aeab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $356,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $367,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 150,125$95,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,353.93 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Spirit | 39c | 100,000$39,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,603.55 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 47,496$30,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,222.22 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Spirit | 36c | 45,093$16,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,859.27 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed Spirit | 36c | 40,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,599.99 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Spirit | 36c | 29,928$10,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,153.91 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 29,000$17,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,690 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Spirit | 38c | 22,131$8,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,721.21 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 15,738$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb754…96dfbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 12,888$7,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,990.77 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Spirit | 36c | 12,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,680 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 11,000$6,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,789.99 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Spirit | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 7,407$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Spirit | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 6,000$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,719.94 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Spirit | 37c | 4,500$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.98 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit | 38c | 3,169$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.3 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.98 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Spirit | 38c | 2,180$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.22 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Spirit | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f8…4de0backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,712$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.56 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8f…c297backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,610$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Spirit | 37c | 1,553$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Spirit | 47c | 1,531$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.95 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Spirit | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…f444backed Spirit | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,350$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,250$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,243$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.97 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Spirit | 41c | 1,226$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.8 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Spirit | 37c | 1,216$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.22 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Spirit | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,133$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Spirit | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.63 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Spirit | 38c | 1,050$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Spirit | 38c | 1,037$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.31 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Spirit | 60c | 1,037$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.82 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,032$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.86 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,024$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.13 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,021$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Spirit | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Spirit | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Spirit | 51c | 974.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.92 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 912.02$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.85 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 899.16$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.67 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 839.98$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.39 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Spirit | 37c | 789.19$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.19 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 758.41$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.8 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Spirit | 38c | 735.48$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.48 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Spirit | 36c | 711.24$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.19 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Spirit | 37c | 680$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.4 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed Spirit | 59c | 661.15$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.15 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 659.99$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.59 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Spirit | 37c | 642.81$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.4 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 630$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…3df5backed Spirit | 49c | 616.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.23 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed Spirit | 37c | 599.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.99 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Spirit | 37c | 585$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.03 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed Spirit | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Spirit | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Spirit | 60c | 519.58$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.83 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Spirit | 37c | 500.1$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.06 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 460.26$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.76 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Spirit | 78c | 439.16$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.23 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 417.2$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.89 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…dd20backed Spirit | 39c | 410.26$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.26 | 219 | 42.5%93 W · 126 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spirit | 45c | 402.42$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.71 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Spirit | 37c | 399.88$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.56 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 362$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.41 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…a5ddbacked Spirit | 38c | 360.34$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.41 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 356.41$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.56 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…9335backed Spirit | 37c | 351.35$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.35 | 131 | 27.5%36 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Spirit | 39c | 344.05$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.87 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Spirit | 40c | 338$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…af95backed Spirit | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…df09backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…fcf5backed Spirit | 37c | 314.86$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.36 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Spirit | 39c | 300$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 298.36$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 100 | 62%62 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb6…67edbacked Spirit | 37c | 270$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…56d8backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 267.67$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.96 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e42…609fbacked Spirit | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 260.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.96 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 260.57$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.13 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Spirit | 39c | 255.49$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.69 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…7d44backed Spirit | 61c | 231.15$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Spirit | 37c | 221.69$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.71 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…570bbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 207.82$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Spirit | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Spirit | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Spirit | 39c | 192.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.31 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed3…01e3backed Spirit | 40c | 180$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.84 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 178.97$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Spirit won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.