TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,607
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,585

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,607 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.9814934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Over48c3,781$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8156251.6%32 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under51c3,389$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.9688242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Over48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005135.3%18 W · 33 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84a2…e0b6backed Under52c1,081$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.671457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over8c581.49$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.382,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Under54c545.36$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.8689248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Over50c544.7$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27298856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Under51c509.97$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.892744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7964…f585backed Over48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015758%91 W · 66 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over46c378.1$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.2129044.8%130 W · 160 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c362.36$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.82,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under51c299.98$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.991,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3812…e4b0backed Over51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011242%47 W · 65 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2284…e326backed Over49c265.54$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13017456.9%99 W · 75 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddef…d52bbacked Over39c236.21$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-36%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Over36c223.91$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0535054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c212.58$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.82,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d95…9e68backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005440.7%22 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e42…609fbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-29.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b48…b37dbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004037.5%15 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ef…df85backed Over51c195.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Over47c182.52$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7910644.3%47 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a90…8d0bbacked Over49c159.95$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.91931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over36c126.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.422,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed Over46c125.79$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8616754.5%91 W · 76 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe66e…96e8backed Over42c123.03$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.127842.3%33 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Under63c122$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6640141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Over49c118.37$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5830236.8%111 W · 191 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under52c112$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7637453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over48c109.37$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.51,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf0…e384backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca3…b826backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506744.8%30 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd277…94d6backed Over49c103.8$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa05c…aa9bbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021557.2%123 W · 92 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a1e…c023backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4618148.6%88 W · 93 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ec7…88b8backed Over48c99.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.994761.7%29 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71db…aba8backed Over51c98.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6840…12c1backed Over49c96.83$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-43.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3715…3704backed Over38c90$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.61450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Under54c89$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.946155.7%34 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Under52c87$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7632139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under52c86.66$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2548948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1b7…a45ebacked Over49c81.83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed Under52c79.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.412343.9%54 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Under57c79.97$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.291,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over31c78.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.331,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd31a…28f5backed Over49c76.7$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.467342.5%31 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Over30c70.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2260032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under54c65.22$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5212…984bbacked Over50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc11c…8d8abacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306361.9%39 W · 24 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Over38c55.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.081,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed Under50c54.62$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.318648.8%42 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b10…89b6backed Over48c51.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254161%25 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528541.1%117 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Under62c50.79$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0864046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a65…5864backed Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x442a…f2dfbacked Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb44…f556backed Over48c49.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.677258.3%42 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2862…78dcbacked Under53c47.18$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1810344.7%46 W · 57 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b46…fd16backed Under64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.882055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x797b…32f8backed Over48c45.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-59%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Under53c45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1530545.9%140 W · 165 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f21…8af5backed Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209056.7%51 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc015…c944backed Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63e0…0f95backed Over31c41.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3793…8f46backed Over49c40.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Under50c40.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0883543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0076…b1b6backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205257.7%30 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d6f…ec8bbacked Under54c39.11$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.99560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Under53c36.45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1332458%188 W · 136 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x997c…1434backed Under69c36.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.415236.5%19 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Under62c33.08$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5732357.6%186 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae79…b9e0backed Under60c32.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+41.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b3c…a34abacked Over49c32.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1626443.2%114 W · 150 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under52c32.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.460451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e1…c2babacked Under63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7547146.7%220 W · 251 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Over32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.428856.6%163 W · 125 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked Over49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.732649.7%162 W · 164 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533156.5%187 W · 144 L-1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.973948.4%358 W · 381 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd30…fc9bbacked Over38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.49443.6%41 W · 53 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d08…5d9fbacked Under44c28.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8120248%97 W · 105 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab1a…4620backed Over50c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfad0…490fbacked Over48c26.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.532433.3%8 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-41.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xef07…5bd2backed Over46c26.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127744.2%34 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea6a…f194backed Over49c24.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1218643.5%81 W · 105 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60eb…fe86backed Under50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Over45c23.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6417946.4%83 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c94…1b47backed Under55c23.64$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.648160.5%49 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34c6…be53backed Under64c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.641921.1%4 W · 15 L-5.5wins-0.29per pick50cpaid-65.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xadfb…f17cbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-44.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Under64c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4745646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Under76c15.1$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6168659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.