TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe66e…96e8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
246
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: AI, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category AI at 56 out of 100; worst Valorant at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT7842.3%33 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 4 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$95.55
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$42.69
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$52.5
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.06
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$19.78
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$144.12
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.52
Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$29.06
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.87
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT3256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+46.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $32.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+355.5%+$138.42
Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Over $5M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Over $3M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$123.67
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+987%+$454
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$69
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.28
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$14
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.1
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.63
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.02
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$19.66
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+92.7%+$26.64
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+257.1%+$257.14
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+109.4%+$207.96
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$127.33
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,815Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.3%+$514.19
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$617Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+58.1%+$358.37
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+29.9%+$14.94
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+37%+$10.8
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$429
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$180.82
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$205
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,501.27
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$75
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$258
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$78.46
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$105.9
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$32.9
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Senegal (-1.5)backed Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$19.55
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick40cpaid+42.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Karmine Corp GC - Map 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+718.3%+$287.33
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.99
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked SaD Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+1,303.7%+$569
Valorant: Division One vs Dynamo Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Dynamo Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.81
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Evil Geniuses Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.04
Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$236
Valorant: G2 Gozen vs SK Nebula (BO5) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffsbacked SK Nebula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$134.09
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.15
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Abacked CGN Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.31
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.54
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$211
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.15
Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 4 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.48
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.69
Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Nuxeria Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Seasonbacked Esprit Shōnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Nuxeria Esport - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nuxeria Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.31
Valorant: ZETA DIVISION vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+161.7%+$195.83
Valorant: ZETA DIVISION vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 1 Winnerbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.31
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$193
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$308
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$130.53
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.59
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
US strike on Syria by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$11.03
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+44.9%+$78.38
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+26.6%+$2.73
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Jensen Huang say "Human Robot" or "Human Robotic" during NVIDIA keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$32.94
Will Jensen Huang say "Taiwan" during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+41.2%+$48.19
Will Jensen Huang say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$12.8
Will Apple release AirTag 2 this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+137.1%+$31.91
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+25%+$8
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$32.4
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+38.9%+$16.8
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+46.4%+$13.91
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+41.1%+$16.44
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Madrid Open: Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.66
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Rublev (+1.5)backed Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Shelton (+1.5)backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Miami Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mbokobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)backed Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Miami Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5)backed Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.8
BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Delray Beach Open: Nuno Borges vs Coleman Wongbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Angers SCO vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.05
Olympique Lyonnais vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.62
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Nantes: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$91.54
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.13
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$737Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$737.01
Will FC Lorient vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+37%+$169.25
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.6
Will Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$27
Will François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.21
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.9
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.48
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$26.2
Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
All 8 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+112.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$255.76
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$110.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Biden" 2+ times during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Viking FK win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$18.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+42.9%+$10.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$112
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.