Token Launches · resolved market
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b03fe04e2ccee7a816a91734577dd6d512f5c4351a87268fc2fb94fced63695
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $610,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $598,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $610,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 350 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc5b…c677backed Yes | 8c | 95,000$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67f…31cfbacked No | 73c | 51,502$37,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,934.68 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8331…965abacked Yes | 7c | 21,693$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.46 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…d221backed Yes | 0c | 18,612$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…ec33backed No | 16c | 13,866$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,690.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a0…11f9backed Yes | 46c | 11,000$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,050 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc46…caa3backed Yes | 7c | 10,544$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd762…1e56backed Yes | 28c | 10,317$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.55 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…9e7abacked Yes | 6c | 10,281$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.34 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…95b0backed Yes | 8c | 10,060$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca72…30cdbacked Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…03c5backed No | 59c | 9,870$5,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,038.82 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0048…ab1cbacked Yes | 46c | 7,684$3,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,517.59 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…fd0dbacked Yes | 7c | 7,300$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…b8f1backed Yes | 7c | 7,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.69 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 20c | 6,118$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.31 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -82%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 7c | 6,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac13…b93ebacked Yes | 17c | 5,949$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.57 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x828d…c9a5backed No | 29c | 5,787$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,125.7 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 7c | 5,739$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.67 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed No | 23c | 5,714$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,421.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bd…bfc8backed Yes | 33c | 5,417$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…6d24backed Yes | 13c | 5,372$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.66 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…84d7backed Yes | 13c | 5,360$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed3…aa68backed Yes | 7c | 5,000$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.14 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x839c…dcc6backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46b0…efa6backed Yes | 5c | 4,926$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.94 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,301$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…c5c4backed Yes | 16c | 4,270$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1855…42e5backed Yes | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…5a81backed Yes | 14c | 3,850$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…6a41backed Yes | 30c | 3,800$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…7febbacked No | 70c | 3,780$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed Yes | 61c | 3,369$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.56 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf603…82f1backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…41d5backed Yes | 9c | 2,600$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd808…6f89backed Yes | 43c | 2,569$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffb2…2744backed Yes | 34c | 2,519$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 2,340$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.98 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3774…886ebacked No | 70c | 2,325$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.66 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefea…3b8fbacked Yes | 13c | 2,307$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Yes | 29c | 2,165$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.25 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 40c | 2,082$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.06 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4b…1b8bbacked No | 65c | 2,020$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b4…ba8fbacked Yes | 37c | 2,000$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.55 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf5…ecf5backed Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb10a…ab03backed Yes | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.28per pick | 34cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2250…cba6backed Yes | 70c | 2,000$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…b6f4backed Yes | 7c | 1,945$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.48 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 69c | 1,898$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.48 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…2ed7backed Yes | 9c | 1,876$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f3…d38cbacked Yes | 56c | 1,875$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.9 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 6c | 1,754$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf2…4b18backed Yes | 18c | 1,593$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…8a66backed Yes | 78c | 1,544$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.35 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…b350backed Yes | 26c | 1,544$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.9 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -58%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 70c | 1,500$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.36 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 7c | 1,455$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.87 | 123 | 4.1%5 W · 118 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c2…c7aebacked Yes | 54c | 1,399$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.57 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…177bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,391$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.36 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0d…e5c6backed Yes | 33c | 1,380$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…4c60backed No | 80c | 1,379$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.97 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 7c | 1,371$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,308$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 124 | 3.2%4 W · 120 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…8501backed Yes | 14c | 1,266$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ae…a74dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,229$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 73c | 1,200$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 69c | 1,200$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 66c | 1,185$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95c2…5a17backed No | 69c | 1,163$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,106$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.73 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 7c | 1,100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988e…5558backed Yes | 20c | 1,093$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.54 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed No | 78c | 1,069$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.42 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…dbe6backed No | 65c | 1,001$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.43 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…153dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2208…f6f5backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.04 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 74c | 999.99$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.99 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9507…7b04backed Yes | 63c | 999.99$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86d5…4093backed Yes | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…6a0cbacked No | 71c | 980.1$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.1 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked No | 24c | 964.58$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.08 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ac…d864backed Yes | 63c | 953.2$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.63 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…aad8backed Yes | 32c | 935.22$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff0…a5bfbacked Yes | 12c | 933.44$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…f055backed Yes | 14c | 876.15$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 12c | 874$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.49 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 74c | 848.98$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711f…f51bbacked Yes | 5c | 830$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked No | 72c | 821.83$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.42 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0897…040bbacked Yes | 27c | 817.96$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.85 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…b445backed Yes | 8c | 814.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe268…12aabacked Yes | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2144…10aebacked Yes | 37c | 808.55$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…d021backed Yes | 19c | 800$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 38c | 791.84$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.01 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…18f0backed No | 73c | 745.52$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…604bbacked Yes | 44c | 743.8$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.2 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6305…9d0bbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Yes won
- Over $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $40M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $50M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $60M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $70M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $80M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $90M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.