TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf67f…31cf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: UFC, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 59 out of 100; worst Middle East at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT3056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $35M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$32.84
Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Over $27.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.02
Over $25M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+271.4%+$979.65
Over $45M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,608Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$827.15
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$688Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$441.81
Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,043Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,042.81
Over $30M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$460
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37,567Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+37.1%+$13,934.68
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$93.06
Over $20M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,182Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$849.2
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+400%+$426.08
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$116.85
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,413Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$5,412.7
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+43.6%+$3,100.4
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,737Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+30.4%+$1,438.01
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13,052Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13,051.53
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,720.16
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10,762Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+47.5%+$5,115.51
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+117.4%+$5,399.99
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,047Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$822.33
Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19,502Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$19,502.29
Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,950Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+103.1%+$10,257.09
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10,997Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+238.5%+$26,229.04
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+145.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-57.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39,387Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$10,558.68
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,004.82
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,999.99
All 3 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$540
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,831Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,830.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$7,216Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$7,215.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.