Token Launches · resolved market
Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0befb0fb9fdcb3b7c46521845d0ce3248eb65352522f67cc3113894b992f3b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 4c | 49,830$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.62 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…e4bfbacked No | 1c | 37,141$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed No | 0c | 22,422$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +7.9wins | +0.24per pick | 37cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…9d2cbacked No | 10c | 11,470$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43eb…f17fbacked No | 0c | 10,391$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…497fbacked Yes | 56c | 6,474$3,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…ef01backed No | 33c | 5,443$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed No | 2c | 4,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +260.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e3…4b79backed Yes | 61c | 3,529$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked No | 0c | 3,150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed No | 8c | 2,868$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.01 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…c600backed Yes | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…a26ebacked No | 17c | 2,374$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0503…db3dbacked No | 4c | 2,290$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…6bf8backed No | 24c | 2,106$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +10.5wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf67f…31cfbacked No | 3c | 2,097$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…fd72backed Yes | 12c | 1,368$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.35 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.27per pick | 15cpaid | +220.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xca16…f878backed Yes | 71c | 1,260$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.76 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed No | 3c | 1,147$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…287fbacked No | 1c | 999.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb24c…eefebacked Yes | 46c | 932.12$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 920.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 20c | 900$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.47 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2250…cba6backed No | 4c | 738.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabfd…fbaabacked Yes | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked No | 34c | 677.23$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.34 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…2528backed No | 26c | 654.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.88 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +13.8wins | +0.42per pick | 31cpaid | +257.2%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…a3dcbacked Yes | 71c | 648.96$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.01 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…dd2bbacked No | 2c | 627.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed Yes | 70c | 612.8$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.92 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -6.1wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed Yes | 73c | 600$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…9592backed No | 9c | 583.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed No | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf880…135dbacked No | 36c | 460$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed Yes | 21c | 448.74$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.51 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…c2cbbacked No | 16c | 413.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…0088backed No | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 20cpaid | +204.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…b7e3backed No | 79c | 380.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 75c | 359.92$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.94 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 9c | 313.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.63 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd261…b663backed No | 35c | 281.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed No | 75c | 268$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…1f2cbacked No | 31c | 256.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…0906backed No | 31c | 253.06$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.45 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +12.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 78c | 247.24$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…a75fbacked Yes | 52c | 240$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…2100backed No | 42c | 238.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71fc…171abacked Yes | 44c | 227.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 22cpaid | +265.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…da90backed No | 8c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…0268backed No | 35c | 183.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 64c | 180.19$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…6a0cbacked No | 23c | 171.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 34c | 169$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 51c | 162.54$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.29 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 26c | 155.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 111 | 7.2%8 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b4…3c6ebacked Yes | 68c | 153.36$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…66b2backed Yes | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 57c | 142$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…7670backed No | 71c | 140$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…b15dbacked Yes | 36c | 139.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 69c | 138.88$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed Yes | 23c | 131.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 37c | 119.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.47 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…4682backed Yes | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76db…6987backed Yes | 32c | 114.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe76…8bb7backed No | 41c | 109.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…47debacked No | 36c | 106.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed No | 29c | 105.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…e279backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…17efbacked No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 43cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf98…4461backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…a70ebacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1c…d9cfbacked Yes | 78c | 95.54$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 62c | 78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 66c | 77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…d591backed No | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 66c | 69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 61c | 67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ec…5f73backed No | 32c | 65.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaafe…4180backed No | 29c | 58.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e3…ce91backed Yes | 76c | 52.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 79c | 52.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c71…9338backed No | 34c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5daa…6a15backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6152…d8f3backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…e637backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…47a2backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…1479backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…e434backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd99c…8490backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…abaabacked No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…3070backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e8…637abacked Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…6159backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?this page
- Over $10M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $15M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $17.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $1M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $20M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $22.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $250k committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $25M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $27.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $2M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $32.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?No won
- Over $35M committed to the RipCars public sale?No won
- Over $37.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the RipCars public sale?No won
- Over $4M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $500k committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the RipCars public sale?No won
- Over $5M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the RipCars public sale?No won
- Over $6M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $70M committed to the RipCars public sale?No won
- Over $750k committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $7M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $8M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $9M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.