TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe90f…0088

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 60 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6848.5%33 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Enzo Fernández: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$19.44
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.56
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2.92
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$34.52
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$118.65
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.22per pick20cpaid+204.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $32.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$158
Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.77
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+743.3%+$371.67
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+170.3%+$126
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+81.8%+$180
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Over $160M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21.3
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $600M and $800M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$93
Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+669.2%+$217.5
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+412.8%+$368.98
Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+2,082.8%+$704.95
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+446.1%+$531.99
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$133.89
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+58.7%+$72.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.