Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd69eec791ee7670d2f83aac8fa50d3de901db9040eb9e2c3dbb58e418cc47a94

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,530,527
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,610,851

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,530,527 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,303 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2c33…0563backed No	65c	102,023$66,041 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,981.3	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked Yes	35c	69,000$24,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,150	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No	69c	64,891$44,793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,098.23	258	44.6%115 W · 143 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ae…0b16backed No	68c	64,093$43,856 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,236.85	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+46.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes	24c	62,800$15,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,071.97	137	25.5%35 W · 102 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf958…db13backed Yes	34c	52,853$18,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,210.35	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-4.8wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe517…fed1backed Yes	0c	49,430$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.43	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bd1…d4eebacked Yes	33c	49,106$16,336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,336.42	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.28per pick	38cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No	65c	44,643$29,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,625.18	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5f…43dabacked Yes	34c	40,000$13,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,659.86	44	20.5%9 W · 35 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	+336.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe221…06f6backed Yes	35c	37,777$13,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,221.95	82	46.3%38 W · 44 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68af…93d2backed Yes	0c	34,859$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-74.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed No	74c	32,350$24,069 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,281.5	60	56.7%34 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8323…e955backed Yes	0c	30,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Yes	35c	30,000$10,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,500	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.14per pick	32cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e84…9071backed Yes	0c	29,530$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.53	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68c8…942dbacked Yes	35c	27,483$9,619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,619.18	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	+4.2wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed No	63c	24,759$15,613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,145.75	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd61f…c6a6backed No	65c	22,500$14,625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,874.96	128	75.8%97 W · 31 L	+7.6wins	+0.06per pick	70cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x330a…0e45backed Yes	1c	20,286$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	108	38%41 W · 67 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No	68c	20,124$13,623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,500.89	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked No	65c	20,000$13,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,000	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x337f…a6a4backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.26per pick	41cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe91b…319cbacked Yes	0c	19,240$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.24	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Yes	32c	19,159$6,131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,130.84	190	37.4%71 W · 119 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No	66c	18,023$11,895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,127.73	131	63.4%83 W · 48 L	+8.1wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked No	65c	18,000$11,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,299.94	145	53.8%78 W · 67 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	65c	18,000$11,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,229.84	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f4…f1d4backed Yes	31c	16,163$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000.05	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-19%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked No	64c	15,861$10,128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,733.18	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe02c…4acdbacked Yes	21c	15,827$3,295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,295.26	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+3.0wins	+0.27per pick	18cpaid	+132.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	66c	15,454$10,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,298.75	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e4…13edbacked No	71c	15,167$10,764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,403.24	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Yes	32c	15,145$4,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,899.74	362	50%181 W · 181 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed No	66c	15,000$9,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,099.91	89	31.5%28 W · 61 L	-9.0wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf689…9d83backed Yes	35c	14,286$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x580e…38cdbacked Yes	35c	14,286$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	167	39.5%66 W · 101 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88f1…b325backed Yes	32c	14,000$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes	35c	13,386$4,685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,685.04	94	40.4%38 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd402…848ebacked Yes	1c	13,229$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-64.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ce5…16f9backed Yes	0c	13,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde7b…5f4bbacked No	65c	12,965$8,423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,542.65	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.24per pick	43cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked Yes	36c	12,540$4,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,514.39	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56c8…7cc8backed No	65c	12,469$8,105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,364.08	122	41%50 W · 72 L	-8.3wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bb0…5c0cbacked No	67c	12,058$8,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,018.07	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-4.1wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Yes	34c	11,366$3,863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,862.84	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked No	64c	11,306$7,236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,070.14	159	50.3%80 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes	35c	11,270$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	+10.1wins	+0.12per pick	37cpaid	+77.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No	66c	10,000$6,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,400	81	39.5%32 W · 49 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x737b…faa3backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked No	66c	10,000$6,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,400	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed No	65c	10,000$6,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,500	28	67.9%19 W · 9 L	+4.8wins	+0.17per pick	51cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x447f…a05ebacked Yes	36c	10,000$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,600	35	62.9%22 W · 13 L	+5.0wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed No	65c	10,000$6,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,499.98	240	58.8%141 W · 99 L	+19.8wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed No	65c	10,000$6,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,499.93	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-7.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed No	76c	9,765$7,421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,343.54	137	38.7%53 W · 84 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2dd6…8e80backed Yes	1c	9,167$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.15per pick	25cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa81b…4d36backed Yes	35c	8,571$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	66c	8,289$5,482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,807.04	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	35c	8,000$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc14e…39a5backed No	65c	8,000$5,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,800	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No	65c	8,000$5,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,799.96	296	46.3%137 W · 159 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No	66c	7,711$5,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,586.34	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+9.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8bd3…f69abacked Yes	34c	7,353$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-62.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Yes	35c	7,000$2,466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,465.78	232	40.5%94 W · 138 L	-11.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Yes	29c	6,923$2,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,007.73	163	57.1%93 W · 70 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf294…d8fdbacked Yes	31c	6,579$2,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,010	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfac3…5728backed Yes	34c	5,885$2,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000.88	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19cd…997abacked Yes	36c	5,868$2,112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,112.41	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-14%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a79…b1a8backed Yes	35c	5,714$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	77	29.9%23 W · 54 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-32%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	35c	5,469$1,891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,890.97	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976c…907cbacked Yes	35c	5,464$1,913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,912.57	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No	65c	5,277$3,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,846.95	319	45.1%144 W · 175 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5df0…e700backed No	65c	5,273$3,427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,845.51	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed No	76c	5,065$3,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,215.7	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…867ebacked Yes	35c	5,009$1,753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,752.99	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-2.5wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes	34c	4,790$1,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,628.59	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No	65c	4,615$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,615.25	224	51.3%115 W · 109 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7ac…f764backed Yes	35c	4,571$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	-5.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Yes	33c	4,500$1,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,485	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	35c	4,359$1,515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,514.61	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00cb…03edbacked Yes	23c	4,348$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf92…aa56backed No	72c	4,328$3,097 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,231.32	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No	65c	4,249$2,762 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,487.23	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x302b…e4bebacked Yes	34c	4,162$1,415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,415.14	81	40.7%33 W · 48 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No	66c	4,150$2,739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,411	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1bf…492ebacked No	66c	4,091$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,390.91	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+44%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf88…b16bbacked No	66c	4,051$2,674 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,377.5	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-3.8wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cd3…e427backed Yes	33c	4,036$1,338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,337.54	71	67.6%48 W · 23 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked No	65c	4,000$2,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,399.97	113	43.4%49 W · 64 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes	22c	3,986$877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$876.94	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked No	65c	3,867$2,514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,353.44	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	+6.1wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	-6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes	21c	3,605$752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$751.79	188	43.1%81 W · 107 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4505…ec35backed No	65c	3,333$2,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,166.51	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd2…116abacked Yes	31c	3,092$959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$958.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes	33c	3,030$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	106	34%36 W · 70 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes	33c	3,000$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	592	30.1%178 W · 414 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Yes	35c	3,000$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	97	19.6%19 W · 78 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x941d…0839backed Yes	34c	2,943$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-3.5wins	-0.15per pick	31cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x880e…54edbacked Yes	34c	2,941$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsthis page
Alex Baena: 1+ assistsNo won
Alex Baena: 1+ goalsNo won
Alex Baena: 1+ shotsYes won
Alex Baena: 2+ goalsNo won
Alex Baena: 2+ shotsNo won
Alex Baena: 3+ shotsNo won
Alex Baena: 4+ shotsNo won
Alex Baena: 5+ shotsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assistsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goalsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shotsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ assistsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ goalsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shotsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shots on targetNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 3+ shotsNo won
Cucurella: 1+ shotsYes won
Cucurella: 1+ shots on targetNo won
Cucurella: 2+ shotsNo won
Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsNo won
Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsNo won
Dani Olmo: 1+ shotsYes won
Dani Olmo: 2+ assistsNo won
Dani Olmo: 2+ goalsNo won
Dani Olmo: 2+ shotsYes won
Dani Olmo: 4+ shotsNo won
David Raya: 2+ savesNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ assistsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ shotsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 2+ assistsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 2+ goalsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 2+ shotsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 3+ shotsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 4+ shotsNo won
Fabián Ruiz: 1+ assistsNo won
Fabián Ruiz: 1+ goalsNo won
Ferrán Torres: 1+ assistsNo won
Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsNo won
Gavi Paez: 1+ goalsNo won
Giovani Lo Celso: 1+ goalsNo won
Giuliano Simeone: 1+ assistsNo won
Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goalsNo won
Juan Musso: 2+ savesNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ shotsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 2+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 2+ shotsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 4+ shotsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ shotsYes won
Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 2+ shotsYes won
Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsYes won
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event